LestersLegends.com » fantasy football Week 9



Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb. I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week. I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch. To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other. Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points.

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week
Kyle Orton over Eli Manning: Loser Orton 8.7, Eli 18.5
Steven Jackson over Michael Turner: Winner S-Jax, 22.6 Turner 21.1
Kevin Smith over Ray Rice: Loser Smith 9.4, Rice 16.8
Mike Sims-Walker over Greg Jennings: Loser MSW 0.9, Jennings 14.8
Brandon Marshall over Larry Fitzgerald: Loser Marshall 2.4, Fitz 6.6
SS: Matt Forte, Chris Johnson, Steve Slaton over DeAngelo Williams:
Forte Winner 24.1
Chris Johnson Winner 35.9
Steve Slaton Loser 1.1
DeAngelo Williams 15.8

Regular Picks:  1-4
Super Stretch Picks: 2-1
Overall:  3-5

Season Record
Regular Picks: 17-22
Super Stretch Picks:  3-7
Overall: 20-29

Week 9 Picks

Quarterback
Matt Hasselbeck profile Tony Romo
Matt Hasselbeck over Tony Romo
Hasselbeck should have field day against Detroit at home. Meanwhile, Romo takes on the Eagles in Philadelphia, which will be a hostile environment to say the least. They’ll bring the heat and force Romo into mistakes.

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Quarterbacks
Kurt Warner
- 23 of 34 for 342 yards, 2 TDs
Gus Frerotte - 11 of 18 for 182 yards, 3 TDs, INT
Aaron Rodgers - 22 of 41 for 314 yards, TD, INT
Jeff Garcia - 31 of 43 for 339 yards, TD, INT
Jay Cutler - 24 of 46 for 307 yards, 2 TDs, 3 INTs
Eli Manning - 16 of 27 for 27 for 147 yards, 3 TDs, INT
Donovan McNabb - 28 of 43 for 349 yards, 2 TDs, INT

Running Backs
Adrian Peterson
- 25 carries for 139 yards, TD
Steve Slaton - 16 carries for 62 yards, 8 catches for 56 yards
Tim Hightower - 22 carries for 109 yards, TD
J.J. Arrington - 6 carries for 62 yards, 5 catches for 57 yards
Thomas Jones - 12 carries for 69 yards, TD, 6 catches for 38 yards
Cedric Benson - 24 carries for 104 yards, TD
Matt Forte - 22 carries for 126 yards
Chris Johnson - 24 carries for 89 yards, TD
Ray Rice - 21 carries for 154 yards, 3 catches for 22 yards
Jamaal Charles - 18 carries for 106 yards
Michael Turner - 31 carries for 139 yards
Jerious Norwood - 13 carries for 63 yards, TD, 2 catches for 20 yards
Ronnie Brown - 20 carries for 59 yards, TD, 3 catches for 30 yards 
 
Peyton Hillis - 7 catches for 116 yards, TD
Brandon Jacobs - 17 carries for 117 yards, TD
BenJarvus Green-Ellis – 15 carries for 57 yards, TD
Willie Parker - 21 carries for 70 yards, TD
Clinton Portis - 13 carries for 51 yards, 7 catches for 73 yards

Wide Receivers
Bernard Berrian
- 2 catches for 104 yards, TD
Anquan Boldin - 6 catches for 65 yards, TD
Derek Stanley – 1 catch for 80 yards, TD
Chad Ocho Cinco - 5 catches for 37 yards, 2 TDs
Calvin Johnson – 8 catches for 94 yards, TD
Shaun McDonald - 6 catches for 65 yards, TD
Rashied Davis - 5 catches for 64 yards, TD
Donald Driver - 7 catches for 136 yards, TD
Derrick Mason - 9 catches for 136 yards, TD
Mark Clayton - 4 catches for 87 yards, TD
Braylon Edwards - 4 catches for 86 yards, TD
Antonio Bryant - 8 catches for 115 yards, TD
Michael Jenkins - 2 catches for 64 yards, 2 TDs
Greg Camarillo - 11 catches for 111 yards
Eddie Royal - 7 catches for 69 yards, TD
Koren Robinson - 4 catches for 105 yards, TD
Brent Celek - 6 catches for 131 yards
Anthony Gonzalez - 4 catches for 55 yards, 2 TDs 

Tight Ends
Owen Daniels
- 11 catches for 133 yards

The LEV Report

1 November 2008




Written by LEV

Observations and Predictions…
LEV from Crazy Colored Glasses checks in with his look back at Week 8 and a preview to Week 9.

Last weekend my beloved Cowboys showed they had a little fight still left in their injury (and drama) decimated team. They held on for dear life against a very good Bucs team. The defense looked very strong in limiting the Bucs to just a few field goals. Brad Johnson even utilized Roy Williams by finding him for a jumpball in the end zone. 

Carolina had a huge second half in beating a game Cardinals squad. The more I see of the Panthers, the more I like. They run the ball well, they pass well and they play strong defense. Could be a team to watch in the NFC for the ret of the year. Philadelphia benefited from a gift call late against Atlanta (refs completely blew a fumble call on the punt returner which would have given the Falcons the ball with a chance to tie the game with less then 3 minutes to go) and showed that teams better not have forgotten how good this team is when Westbrook is healthy. The Giants showed the heart of a champion in coming from behind with a strong fourth quarter and beating the Steelers. The Titans showed all of America on Monday night that they are for real in dispatching the Colts
Players of the Week
QB-Drew Brees: Has any QB been more consistent this year. The crowd in London was treated to a QB playing in an offense perfectly suited to his abilities. A trend that should continue what with Reggie injured, and Deuce getting ready to be suspended.
WR-Donnie Avery: Impressive new deep threat for Marc Bulger. Gashed the Cowboys for a deep score two weeks ago and ran through the Pats secondary for 160+ yards and a score.
RB-Brian Westbrook: Continues to be the most effective back in the league. 200+ total yards and a score. He is the engine that drives the Eagles offense.
TE-Dallas Clark: He was Manning’s most effective weapons against a tough Titans defense.
Defense-New York Giants: The Giants picked off Big Ben 4 times and sacked him 5 times. Another dominant performance by a strong defensive unit.
Special Teams-Houston Texans: Strong returns all day keyed by the 73 yard punt return for a score by Jacoby Jones.
This weeks main event is the conference matchup between the Cowboys and Giants. The Giants benefit from catching the Cowboys hurting and on the road. I simply don’t think the Cowboys have enough (especially at QB) to put up a fight. The Giants in a blitz induced laugher. The Bills shut down the ground attack of the Jets and expose them for the overrated mess they are. The Titans continue to let the good times roll in winning a close one over the Packers. The Colts should find a way to win one at home against the Patriots. If not they can pack their bags. Redskins keep the Steelers winless against the NFC East.
Here are my picks for the rest of this weeks games (8-6 last week). Jags keeping the Bengals winless. Browns getting to .500 against the Ravens. Vikings over the Texans in a close one. Bears huge over Detroit at home. Bucs over the Chiefs. Cards over the Rams. Miami over the Broncos in Denver. Philly over Seattle. Falcons beating the Raiders
Fantasy Picks of the Week
QB-Kyle Orton: The Lions are horendous and Orton shredded them the last time these two teams played.
WR-Anquan Boldin: Looked great in his return to the lineup last week. That should continue this week against the Rams inviting secondary.
RB-Michael Turner: He’s enjoying being the number one back. The Raiders defense has just enough holes up front for Turner to shred.
TE-Chris Cooley: Steelers and Redskins will pay a tough Monday night contest. Cooley should break free for a score and close to 100 yards.
Defense-Tampa Bay: The defense was strong against the Cowboys in a losing effort. They’ll be able to take out the frustrations of last week against the Chiefs at Arrowhead.
Special Teams:-Jags: MJD should break through against the awful special teams of the Bengals.

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Matt Cassel
(19.55) over Eli Manning (13.95) WHICH I WON.    
Thomas Jones
(12.0) beat Michael Turner (5.8) WHICH I WON.
Willis McGahee (11.7) over Brandon Jacobs (5.3) WHICH I WON.
Santana Moss (20.0) over Reggie Wayne (2.9) WHICH I WON.
Isaac Bruce (4.9) over Torry Holt (2.8) WHICH I WON.
Super Stetch:  Terrell Owens (3.3) beat Malcom Floyd (2.1) WHICH I LOST. 

Regular Picks:  5-0
Super Stretch Picks:  0-1  
Overall:  5-1  
Breakdown: QB: 1-0, RB: 2-0, WR:  2-1

Season Record
Regular Picks:  28-14
Super Stretch Picks:  2-5
Overall:  30-18
Breakdown: QB: 8-3, RB: 14-5, WR: 8-7, TE:  0-1

Quarterback
 
Kyle Orton
over Aaron Rodgers
I’ll pit these two NFC North QBs against one another this week.  I’m taking Orton in a cupcake matchup vs. Detroit.  He should be able to outscore Rodgers vs. Tennessee.  Rodgers is the highest scoring QB that hasn’t had a bye yet, but Tennessee has allowed the fewest points per game this year.

Running Backs
 
Michael Turner over Clinton Portis
Last week Michael Turner continued the trend of not performing vs. good teams.  The flip side of that trend is his dominance against bad teams.  Oakland is bad.  Burner Turner should light them up.  I’m so convinced I’m taking on the top RB in the league.  His matchup against Pittsburgh helps the cause, but he’s had at least 121 yards on the ground the past five games. 

 
Earnest Graham over Brandon Jacobs
It’s Graham’s turn to abuse the Chiefs.  He may not crack the century mark, but I would expect him to reach paydirt at least once.  Meanwhile Jacobs goes up against Dallas who is 11th in Run D with 95.5 yards allowed per game.  Plus, they’re tied for 13th with 6 rushing TDs allowed.

Wide Receiver
 
Donnie Avery over Calvin Johnson
I’ll take Lisa Danhof’s Ahead of the Curve pick Donnie Avery against Arizona in what should be a shootout over Megatron.  Avery has become the go-to-guy the past few weeks for the Rams.  Johnson faces Chicago, which should present a challenge for young Mr. Orlovsky.

  
Devin Hester over Terrell Owens
T.O. barely beat my Stretch pick of Malcom Floyd last week.  I’ve got him in my sights still.  This time I’m turning Devin Hester on him (I don’t take any points he scores in the return game).  Hester could be utilized in the Wildcat Formation, which will add to his value.  Plus he faces Detroit, which is always fun.  T.O. plays the Giants with Brad Johnson and Brooks Bollinger at the helm.  You know the G-Men are going to bring the pass rush making it hard on the ex-Viking QBs.         

SUPER STRETCH
 
Tim Hightower over Jamal Lewis
I’ll go with the guy from Police Academy over the guy who’s been incarcerated.  Hightower squares off against St. Louis.  He’s all-or-nothing with a high of 37 rushing yards.  He’s scored in five of the Cardinals’ seven games.  He may start playing a bigger role on offense as Edge appears done.  Jamal is going up against his ex-mates.  Not inmates, but former teammates in Baltimore.  The present a difficult matchup for Jamal.


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