LestersLegends.com

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An injured player that returns can be like making a one-sided trade for your fantasy team. You can add a star player to your lineup while dropping your worst player. Sometimes the strategy pays off. Sometimes it blows up in your face. You have to take risks to win fantasy championships though. Here are some injured players that you can store in your “bank” in hopes that they will pay dividends down the road.
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Kendrys Morales, 1B, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Morales is a little scary right now because he seems to be getting worse rather than better. You probably remember he broke his leg celebrating a walk off grand slam on May 29th last year. He has been experiencing soreness in toe. Mark Trumbo, who has been dealing with an injury (groin) of his own, will keep first base warm for Morales. Kendrys hit 34 home runs in 2009 and had eleven in 51 games before going down. Unfortunately you’re going to have to still take him fairly early (64 average draft position) because of his potential. Hopefully he won’t spend too much time in your D.L. slot.
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Curtis Granderson, OF, New York Yankees
Granderson strained his oblique, which could cause him to miss the start of the season. While that is disappointing news to fantasy owners, it could give you better value than his ADP (73) before the injury. Granderson hit 17 home runs and carried a .861 OPS after the All-Star Break last year.
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Chase Utley, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies
Utley is another guy that comes with a risk thanks to a knee injury that will likely keep him out on Opening Day. Anytime a knee is involved, it’s a pretty sticky situation. Best case scenario is it heals fast and it doesn’t hinder his production. The likely scenario is Utley playing through the injury, but his numbers will be affected. The worst case scenario is Utley being shut down. We don’t really know what is going to happen with him. That’s what makes drafting Utley so scary. His ADP is 18, but sinking fast.
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Grady Sizemore, OF, Cleveland Indians
Sizemore won’t play Opening Day as he recovers from a knee injury. When he returns, he will probably be limited initially. He isn’t a 30-30 threat this year, but he could post a 20 HR/20 SB season. His ADP is 99, which makes him a little bit of a risk. The payday could be great though.
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Carlos Beltran, OF, New York Mets
Beltran is shooting for Opening Day, but given his injury history I wouldn’t hold my breath. The main reason I like Beltran is his value. His ADP is 228 meaning you can get him around the 19th round of fantasy drafts. I don’t think he’ll ever post the numbers he did as recently as 2008, but he could be a solid power/speed combo.
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Brian Wilson, RP, San Francisco Giants
Like Granderson, Wilson is dealing with a strained oblique. It is an injury that can be aggravated, but it’s not alarming at this point. Wilson remains one of the game’s elite closers.
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Johan Santana, SP, New York Mets
It’s gambling time. Johan won’t like pitch until the All-Star Break, if he pitches at all in 2011. He’s an excellent second half pitcher, but will he be productive without having the first half to get warmed up?  With and ADP of 208 he is certainly worth the risk. If he is 75 percent of what he’s been after the break (65-23, 2.95 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) you could get a huge boost for the stretch run.
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Jake Peavy, SP, Chicago White Sox
Peavy’s return from lat reattachment surgery is dealing with rotator cuff tendinitis. It’s only expected to keep him out a few weeks of the season. He struggled a bit last year going 7-6 with a 4.63 ERA. I think he’ll be closer to the pitcher that went 9-6 with a 3.45 ERA with the White Sox in 2009.
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Johnny Cueto, SP, Cincinnati Reds
Cueto’s shoulder will sideline him for the start of the year. He’s still should have plenty of value for fantasy owners. His ERA and WHIP have gone down in each of the past two years. He’s worth considering towards the end of your draft.
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Also check out:

• 2011 Fantasy Baseball Value Picks
• 2011 Fantasy Baseball Profiles
• 2011 Fantasy First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Second Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Second Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Second Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Third Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Third Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Third Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Shortstop Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Shortstop Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Shortstop Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Catcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Catcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Catcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Outfielder Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Outfielder Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Starting Pitcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Starting Pitcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Starting Pitcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Closer Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only Closer Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only Closer Rankings

LestersLegends.com is teaming up with EE Sports World.com to break down all the divisions in baseball. My assignment was the AL Central. I’ll review the teams in the order I expect them to finish.
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First Place:  Minnesota Twins
The key to the Twins success is the health of Justin Morneau and Joe Nathan. Minnesota did an excellent job piecing things together last year with Jim Thome, Michael Cuddyer and company, but if they want to repeat as American League Central Champions, they’ll need Morneau’s bat. The Twins always seem to get by at closer so this isn’t nearly as primary a concern. Even if he falters, they have Matt Capps as an insurance policy.
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The Twins added Tsuyoshi Nishioka in the offseason to bolster their middle infield. The rest of their moves were just securing their free agents, namely Carl Pavano and Jim Thome. Delmon Young and Danny Valencia were pleasant surprises for the Twins last year while Michael Cuddyer once again showed his versatility. Denard Span struggled at times, but should bounce back.
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Francisco Liriano shined in the rotation, which will be the key to the Twins success. If they can get strong efforts from Liriano, Pavano, Scott Baker, and company there is a good chance that Ron Gardenhire pulls the right strings again to maintain A.L. Central dominance.
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Second Place:  Chicago White Sox
The White Sox added some firepower in the offseason by bringing in Adam Dunn to join the likes of Alex Rios, Paul Konerko, Alexei Ramirez, and Carlos Quentin. Juan Pierre will once again set the table, and Gordon Beckham looks to break out.
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The White Sox have a solid rotation, and should get a nice boost when Jake Peavy returns from shoulder surgery around the All-Star Break. Until then, it will be up to John Danks, Mark Buehrle, Gavin Floyd, and Edwin Jackson to carry the load. The White Sox lost Bobby Jenks in the bullpen, but Matt Thornton and Chris Sale should be up to the task.
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Ozzie Guillen will be entertaining, or annoying depending on your point of view, once again. You cannot accuse him of not speaking his mind. The White Sox seem to have a mental block that keeps them from getting past the Twins. If they can overcome it, the division is theirs for the taking.
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Third Place:  Detroit Tigers
Miguel Cabrera is the most talented player in the division, but he may also be the most troubled. Good news for Tigers fans and his fantasy owners that his arrest happened before the season started. He’s dealing with a serious issue though that is bigger than baseball. Fortunately the structure of the season could be what he needs to keep his life in order.
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On a less serious note, the addition of Victor Martinez gives the team a little more firepower. With Austin Jackson, Ryan Raburn, Carlos Guillen, and Jhonny Peralta, the Tigers could have a potent offense in 2011. Justin Verlander anchors the pitching staff with Max Scherzer living up to his promise. There are question marks in the back end of their rotation, which makes it hard for me to imagine they can surpass the Twins or the White Sox.
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Fourth Place:  Cleveland Indians
The Indians could actually surprise some people this year. Shin-Soo Choo is one of the most underrated players in the American League. Grady Sizemore is trying to recover from knee surgery. He was one of the most exciting players in baseball, and could really help their offense. Carlos Santana looks like one of the best young catchers in the league while Orlando Cabrera will provide veteran leadership. If players like Michael Brantley and Matt LaPorta can take the next step, the Tribe have an outside shot of taking third place.
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That is, if they get the pitching they need. Fausto Carmona had a strong year, but if he loses his mechanics on his sinker, he can go south fast. Justin Masterson has the goods, he just needs to work on his control issues. Too many free passes lead to big innings. Chris Perez is a solid closer, but the rest of the pitching staff is loaded with question marks.
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Fifth Place:  Kansas City Royals
Zack Greinke is gone. Jeff Francis, Luke Hochevar, Kyle Davies, and Vin Mazzaro do not intimidate opposing batters. Joakim Soria is one of the best closers in the American League, but how many leads will he be able to protect? Speaking of protecting, who is going to protect Billy Butler in the Royals’ lineup? Mike Aviles had a strong finish to last year and Kila Ka’aihue has a cool name and some pop, but this is a team that is going to struggle to avoid 100 losses.
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Also check out:

• 2011 Fantasy Baseball Profiles
• 2011 Fantasy First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy A.L. Only First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy N.L. Only First Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Second Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Third Basemen Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Shortstop Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Catcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Starting Pitcher Rankings
• 2011 Fantasy Closer Rankings

Image courtesy of Icon SMI

Grady Sizemore is a coveted fantasy player because of his ability to score runs, hit HRs, and steal bases. He battled through a hernia and an elbow injury last year, but still managed to put up a respectable 73 runs, 18 HRs, and 13 SBs in 103 games.

Even with his shortened season he’s averaging 107 runs, 25 HRs, 78 RBIs, and 26 SBs over the past five years. He’s struggled at the plate the past two seasons, but his average over that five-year stretch is .276. Not great, but not terrible either. Not when you consider what else he brings to the table.

I know the Indians’ lineup isn’t what it used to be, but they have some good young talent in Shin-Soo Choo, Matt LaPorta, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Michael Brantley to go along with veterans Jhonny Peralta and Travis Hafner.

The question is, where do you take Sizemore in fantasy drafts? He’s clearly not a first rounder any more. Not coming off an injury, even if he did shut it down early. I wouldn’t hesitate to grab him towards the end of the second round. I have him as my 4th ranked outfielder (click to see rankings), and I like the advantage he gives you in runs and SBs while chipping in with a respectable amount of HRs. All of this is dependent upon his health, but I’m not overly concerned with it. From 2005-2008 he missed just nine games.

Prediction:  .275, 110 runs, 28 HRs, 80 RBIs, 35 SBs

Past profiles:
Arizona Diamondbacks:  Brandon Webb
Atlanta Braves: Yunel Escobar
Baltimore Orioles:  Adam Jones
Boston Red Sox:  Clay Buchholz
Chicago Cubs:  Geovany Soto
Chicago White Sox:  Jake Peavy
Cincinnati Reds:  Joey Votto

The Indians activated OF Grady Sizemore (elbow) from the DL.  He has been out since May 30th.  He has struggled this season hitting .223 with 29 Runs, 9 HRs, 31 RBIs, and 7 SBs.  Despite his struggles, he should be inserted into fantasy lineups immediately.

The Reds activated 1B Joey Votto.  Votto is enjoying a fine season hitting .357 with 23 Runs, 8 HRs, and 33 RBIs.  I would hold off on putting him into your fantasy lineup until his role is defined since he was sidelined with a mysterious ailment.

The Mets placed Carlos Beltran on the 15-DL because of a knee bruise.  It has not slowed him at the plate though as he’s hitting .336 with 40 Runs, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs, and 11 SBs.  Fernando Martinez is getting another stint with the Mets.  He hit just .194 in his first taste of the bigs.  Ryan Church (.277, 2 HRs, 16 RBIs) is the guy I’d add.

The Angels are returning Ervin Santana to the 15-Day DL because of sore triceps.  Santana has struggled in his six starts this year going 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP.  The move was made retroactive to June 12th, but it’s unclear when he’ll make his next start.  At this point he hasn’t shown he’s worth a roster spot on fantasy teams.

The Cleveland Indians placed OF Grady Sizemore (elbow) on the 15-day DL.  Chris Gimenez was called up from Triple-A Columbus to take his spot on the roster, although Ben Francisco will take the majority of the ABs.  Sizemore was hitting .223 with 29 Runs, 9 HR, 31 RBIs, and 7 SBs.  Francisco is hitting .275 with 24 Runs, 5 HRs, 20 RBIs, and 9 SBs.

With the break in the action for the All-Star Game, it’s time to take a look at the midseason award winners.  It’s also a time to reflect on my preseason predictions.

American League
AL East: Boston – Tampa gave Boston a scare, but I think the Champs hold them off.
Preseason Prediction:  Boston
AL Central:  Chicago White Sox – If it weren’t Detroit, I would have guessed Cleveland.  Guess again.
Preseason Prediction:  Detroit
AL West: Anaheim – They are who we thought they were. 
Preseason Prediction:  Anaheim 
AL Wildcard: Tampa Bay – They have been a great story, but I think NY finds a way to beat them out.
Preseason Prediction:  New York Yankees

National League
NL East: Philadelphia – They’ve let the Mets creep back.  Should be a good race.
Preseason Prediction:  New York Mets
NL Central: Chicago Cubs
Preseason Prediction:  Chicago Cubs
NL West: Arizona - I wouldn’t be proud if I were them.
Preseason Prediction:  Arizona
NL Wildcard: St. Louis – This has been one of Tony LaRussa’s most impressive jobs.
Preseason Prediction:  Philadelphia

Preseason Playoff Predictions
Boston Red Sox over Anaheim.  The Sox have their number.
Detroit over New York.  Pitching and hitting are too strong for Detroit.
Boston over Detroit.  Beckett dominates once again

Mets over Cubs.  Still not this year.  Johan is unbelievable.
Arizona over Phillies.  Arizona’s pitching overpowers Philly’s hitting.
Mets over Arizona.  Great pitching matchups, but Pedro wills the Mets to the Series.

World Series
Boston Red Sox over the New York Mets.  Bill Buckner can really breath easier now.

  AL MVP:  Josh Hamilton – 95 RBI.  Seriously. 
Preseason Prediction:  A-Rod

  AL Cy Young:  Cliff Lee – 12-2, 2.31 ERA, 106 Ks.  Unbelievable.
Preseason Prediction:  Josh Beckett

  AL Rookie of the Year:  Evan Longoria – He’s lived up to the hype.
Preseason Prediction:  Evan Longoria

AL Manager of the Year:  Joe Maddon – Tampa Bay is baseball’s best story
Preseason Prediction:  Terry Francona
AL Comeback Player of the Year:  Cliff Lee – From a Minor League stint to All-Star Starter
Preseason Prediction:  Travis Hafner
AL Batting Crown:  Ian Kinsler – He’s on fire.
Preseason Prediction:  Ichiro S
AL Home Run Title:  Grady Sizemore – Doesn’t he hit leadoff?
Preseason Prediction:  A-Rod
AL RBI Title:  A-Rod.  Josh Hamilton – Baseball’s second best story.
Preseason Prediction:  A-Rod

  NL MVP:  Lance Berkman – .347, 22 HRs, 73 RBI. 
Preseason Prediction:  Ryan Howard 

 NL Cy Young:  Edison Volquez – 12-3, 2.29 ERA, 126 Ks.  Amazingly keeping the Josh Hamilton trade somewhat respectable.
Preseason Prediction:  Johan Santana

  NL Rookie of the Year:  Geovany Soto – Leading rookies in HR, RBI, and Average.  Oh yeah, and he plays Catcher.
Preseason Prediction:  Joey Votto

NL Manager of the Year:  Tony LaRussa – With apologies to Lou Piniella, but nobody has done more with less than Tony LaRussa.
Preseason Prediction:  Willie Randolph (Yikes)
NL Comeback Player of the Year:  Kerry Wood – Gotta feel good for him.  Tied for 2nd in Saves in NL.
Preseason Prediction:  Randy Johnson
NL Batting Crown:  Chipper Jones – .376.  Are you kidding me?
Preseason Prediction:  Chase Utley
NL Home Run Title:  Ryan Howard – Like I said, he’s a beast.
Preseason Prediction:  Ryan Howard
NL RBI Title:  Ryan Howard – See above.
Preseason Prediction:  Ryan Howard

Saturday, July 5th
Cody Ross had 3 Hits and 4 RBI.  Matt Holliday had 4 RBI.  Scott Hairston (3 RBI), Mark Lorreta had 3 Hits and 3 RBI.  Jeff Clement hi a pair of HRs and drove in 3.  Rick Ankiel (3 RBI), Derrick Lee, Michael Young, German Duran, Alexei Ramirez, Damion Easley, Jerry Hairston Jr., Alex Rios, and Chone Figgins each had 3 Hits.  Ryan Howard, Vladimir Guerrero, Brad Hawpe, and Grady Sizemore each had 3 RBI.  Joe Mauer scored 3 Runs.

Jake Peavy gave up 3 Hits with 6 Ks in 7 scoreless Innings to improve to 6-5 with a 2.67 ERA.  Andy Sonnanstine gave up 5 Hits in 7 scoreless Innings to improve to 10-3.  Gavin Floyd gave up 3 Hits witgh 6 Ks in 7-1/3 scoreless Innings to improve to 10-4 with a 3.22 ERA.  Mike Mussina gave up 4 Hits in 6 scoreless Innings to improve to 11-6 with a 3.64 ERA.  Justin Masterson gave up 2 Runs in 6 Innings, but took the Loss.  Kyle Lohse (7 Innings, 2 Runs, 6 Ks) and Ted Lilly (6 Innings, 2 Runs) got no-decisions.  Paul Maholm (8 Innings, 1 Run, 4 Hits, 6 Ks) and Dave Bush (8 Innings, 1 Run, 4 Hits, 7 Ks) battled to no-decisions.  Josh Fogg (6 Innings, 1 Run) and Tim Redding (6 Innings, 1 Run) got no-decisions.  Roy Halladay gave up 2 Runs in 7 Innings with 7 Ks to improve to 10-6 with a 2.88 ERA.  Barry Zito gave up 2 Runs in 7 Innings with 10 Ks to improve to 4-12.  Armando Galarraga (6 Innings, 1 Run) and R.A. Dickey (6 Innings, 2 Runs) got no-decisions.