LestersLegends.com » Jhonny Peralta


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All of the players have average draft positions at Mock Draft Central of 200 or higher.
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First Base:  Ike Davis, New York Mets
Davis, hitting behind Jose Reyes and David Wright, has plenty of room for growth in his second season. Not that his .271-73-19-71-3 rookie debut was disappointing. I think the Mets will have one of the better offenses in the National League this year if they can stay healthy. Davis will reap the rewards. Ike’s ADP is 201.
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Second Base:   Omar Infante, Florida Marlins
There are a few things I like about Omar. First, he hit .309 over the past three years. Second, with second base, third base, and outfield eligibility he provides great flexibility for fantasy owners. Finally, his ADP of 232 makes him an exceptional value.
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Third Base: Placido Polanco, Philadelphia Phillies
If you’re looking for home runs or stolen bases at third base, you can look elsewhere. He should however contribute in the other three categories, especially while Chase Utley is out and the number two slot is his. He’s a decent option at a 243 ADP.
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Shortstop:  Jhonny Peralta, Detroit Tigers
Peralta is another three category producer. He should score a fair amount of runs (averaged 79 over past six years), hit a decent amount of home runs (averaged 17.8 over past six years), and drive in a decent amount of RBI (averaged 78.5 over past six years). He also gives you third base eligibility, and is a nice value at a 253 ADP.
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Catcher:  Russell Martin, New York Yankees
The Yankees could breathe new life into Russell Martin’s fantasy value. It seems like forever ago that he was a fantasy star, but he’s only 28. In the Yankees offense and calling Yankee Stadium home, I expect Martin to be solid, but not spectacular, which is fine given his ADP of 249.
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Right Field:  Michael Cuddyer, Minnesota Twins
Cuddy gives you outfield and first base eligibility. He hits a decent clip (.270 hitter), scores a fair amount of runs (93 in each of the past two years), has some pop (14 HR last year), is a decent run producer (averaged 87.5 the past two years), and even swipes a few bases (combined for 13 the past two year). He’s just a solid addition any fantasy team, and with an ADP of 225 the price is right.
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Center Field:  Peter Bourjos, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Talk about value, Bourjos has an ADP of 363. Bourjos has excellent speed, making 30 stolen bases seem like a reasonable number. He has some power too, which could lead to double-digit home runs. It may be a year early, but he certainly seems like a nice bargain.
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Left Field:  Jose Tabata, Pittsburgh Pirates
I’m expecting big things from Tabata. I’m not looking for power numbers, but he should hit around .300, score 90+ runs, and steals 30+ bases. If you miss out on some of the other speedsters (Bourn, Pierre, Gardner), Tabata can be a solid backup plan.
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Starting Pitcher:  Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks
Kennedy went 9-10 with a 3.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, .228 BAA, and 168 strikeouts in 194 innings last year. He was 5-3 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .219 BAA after the All-Star Break. With an ADP of 215 he’s a rock solid addition to any fantasy staff.
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Closer:  Joe Nathan, Minnesota Twins
There are a number to choose from, but given Nathan’s past dominance and 206 ADP, I went with him. Nathan was a top five closer before Tommy John surgery. He is getting his stuff pack, and could easily be a top ten closer in 2011. The Twins tied for 13th with 40 saves last year despite losing Rauch. Even if Nathan isn’t all the way back, he should still be good enough to save 30 games while posting a low ERA and WHIP.
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Here is a list of guys who typically get off to slow starts.  If you draft them, be patient.  If you didn’t take them, they may good buy low candidates.

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Ryan Howard
- Howard is a beast so he probably isn’t going to come available, but don’t be discouraged by a slow start.  Last year year he hit .234 with 28 HRs and 84 RBI in 96 games before the All-Star break and .276 with 20 & 62 in the last 66 games.  For his career he hits 47 points higher after the break.

Ichiro Suzuki – Ichiro hit .252 in March & April last year and .323 the rest of the way.  His April swoon may seem uncharacteristic for Ichiro, but he is a .294 hitter in April and a .337 hitter thereafter.  If he struggles early, maybe you can surgically remove him from somebody’s team.

Bobby Abreu
- You may assume a slow start is due to relocation, but remember he hit .269 with just 3 HRs in 28 April games last year.  Historically, April is his worst month.  He has a .282 average and 31 HRs and 154.  He has at least 40 HRs & 170 RBI in every other Month but September (35 & 163).  Plus, he hits .303 in the other months.  He could be primed to take off someone’s hands if he starts slow.

Robinson Canó - Canó hit .246 before the break with 36 Runs and 38 RBI in 93 games and .307 with 34 R & RBIs in 66 games after the break.  He was especially bad in April hitting .151.  He always starts slow.  For his career he hits .257 in April and May and .322 the rest of the month.  This trend is probably too well known to exploit, but it’s worth a shot.

Ryan Zimmerman - Zimmerman started off March/April hitting .233.  He hit .301 the rest of the way.  Last year wasn’t atypical for Zimmerman.  For his career he has hit .237 in March/April and .292 in the other months.  Zimmerman is another one that you may actually be able to get if he starts slow again.

 
Freddy Sánchez – Freddy hit .226 with 37 Runs before the break in 87 games.  In the last 58 games he hit .346 with 38 Runs.  Historically April is his worst month with a .250 average, compared to .306 from May to September.  He has 20 Runs and 23 RBI in his career compared to and average of 56 Runs and 39 RBI in the other months.  He may be available on your waiver wire come May to give you a little shot in the arm in the Average and Runs department.

Jhonny Peralta - Before June Peralta his .233 with 19 RBI in 48 games (0.40 RBI per game).  After June he hit .294 with 70 RBI in 106 games (0.66 RBI per game).  In 85 career April games he’s hit .226 compared to .274 in other months.

 
Carlos Peña – Before June Peña hit .220 in 55 games.  He hit .266 the rest of the way.  Historically he has hit .229 before June and .262 in the other months. 

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