2010 NFL Injury Notes: Week 2

17 September 2010

Beanie Wells (knee) is headed to the dreaded game-time decision after being a limited participant in Arizona’s Friday practice. At this point I would make other plans for your roster. Tim Hightower can likely be used again.
Percy Harvin (hip) is also a likely game-time decision, but all signs point to Harvin playing against Miami. Plan on using Percy, but check his status before kickoff.
Kellen Winslow (knee) was listed as questionable for Tampa’s game against Carolina this week. Winslow has historically been able to play through pain so I would expect him to go. If you have a better option on your bench, I would use him, but I do expect Winslow to play.
As expected Kevin Kolb (concussion) won’t play against Detroit this week. Michael Vick should be a strong play.
Meanwhile, Matt Moore (concussion) was able to practice and will give it a go against Carolina. He wouldn’t be anywhere near my fantasy roster though.
Hakeem Nicks (ankle) is making life difficult for his fantasy owners. It would be hard not to play him after his three-TD performance to open the season, but he’s also a game-time decision. The Giants don’t play until Sunday night so you’ll have to hope there is news before the early games. If you have another WR on the Giants, Colts, Saints, or 49ers that you can plug in if he doesn’t play, then you can gamble on Nicks. If not, and you don’t hear any positive news from Nicks’ camp, I would play it safe and leave him on your bench.

The Bucs do not bring much to the table for fantasy owners. Aside from Kellen Winslow, there isn’t a reliable option. That doesn’t mean you should avoid them all together.


Fantasy Playoffs Schedule:  Favorable
Too bad the Bucs don’t have more fantasy options because their schedule, on paper anyway, is very soft. They start off against the Redskins at home in Week 14. Then they have two home games against fellow bottom dwellers Detroit and Seattle.


Five Star Fantasy Options


Four Star Fantasy Options
Kellen Winslow – Winslow is forever an injury risk, but he has shown enough toughness to fight through the pain that you can rely on him. He has had at least 77 catches and 875 yards in three of the last four seasons.  The main knock on  him is that he doesn’t score TDs (only 16 career TDs). He has added value in PPR leagues.


Three Star Fantasy Options


Two Star Fantasy Options
Cadillac Williams – The Auburn duo of Cadillac Williams and Ronnie Brown have had more of their share of injuries. There aren’t many players that I pull for more than Cadillac because of everything he’s endured. He was overlooked last year because of the acquisition of Derrick Ward, yet managed to compile a 1040 total yard (823 rushing), 7 TD (4 rushing) season. You have to be a little skeptical that Ward will play a larger role, but as of now it appears Williams is the Bucsback to own.


Reggie Brown – Newcomer Reggie Brown has a chance to start over in Tampa Bay. He was passed in Philly’s depth charts by youngsters DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin. He’ll have to hold off veteran Michael Clayton and rookies Arrelious Benn and Mike Williams.


Buccaneers Defense/Special Teams – For starters I like their Week 15 and 16 match-ups against the Lions and Seahawks respectively. They also take on the Browns (Week 1) and Rams (Week 7).  Plus, their second match-up against the Saints is after the fantasy season.


One Star Fantasy Options
Josh Freeman – Freeman has the tools to become a good NFL QB, but it’s going to take some size. Without quality options at the WR position or a solid ground game, it will take a little longer. He’ll have his moments, but they will be few and far between.


Derrick Ward –  Ward did not exactly live up to the hype last year combining for 559 total yards (409 rushing) and 3 TDs (1 rushing). His paltry 3.6 yards per carry didn’t help matters. He could make a run at the starting gig this summer, but until he earns the gig, his stock is very limited.


Michael Clayton, Arrelious Benn and Mike Williams – After an impressive 80 catch, 1193 yard, 7 TD rookie season, Clayton has just 141 catches for 1743 yards and 3 TDs over the past  five seasons. Surely you don’t expect him to suddenly remember how to be an elite fantasy WR. Benn could beat out Clayton or Brown for a chance to start, but I wouldn’t put much faith in a rookie WR given Tampa Bay’s offense. Williams has the tools, but will likely take longer to make an impact.


Click here for additional 2010 NFL Team Previews.

Zach Miller made huge strides in his second year hauling in 56 passes for 778 yards.  Unfortunately he only crossed the goal line once, but he’s still a serviceable TE.  He was consistently inconsistent with eight games with fewer than 50 yards and eight games with 50+.  Unfortunately he did score the occasional TD to buoy some of the low yardage games.  He’s clearly JaMarcus Russell’s top target though as the next closest Raider was Darren McFadden with 29 receptions.  Breakout candidate Chaz Schilens is out with a broken foot so Miller will continue to get a lot of looks.  He is an adequate TE1, but only because you’ll be getting him around the 13th round.  He should be good for 65 catches for 850 yards and 3 TDs.

John Carlson would be higher on my list after a 55 catch, 627 yard, 5 TD rookie season, but with the additional of T.J. Houshmandzadeh at WR, I’m afraid he won’t get as many targets.  Plus with Walter Jones sidelined following knee surgery, Carlson’s blocking duties could increase.  He’s still a big, talented target though, so he should be productive.  Just don’t expect him to make the leap into the top five fantasy TEs this year.  Although for a guy going in the 10th round of fantasy drafts, you shouldn’t really expect that much of a leap.  He should be good for 60 catches for 700 yards and 4 TDs.

Kellen Winslow is not short on talent or determination, that’s for sure.  However, his volatile behavior can be detrimental to a team.  His ability to control his emotions leaves plenty to be desired.  He is injury-prone, but for the most part guts them out.  He should be in a better situation in Tampa where he can better keep his emotions in check, but new Coach will not allow Winslow’s antics to make him lose control of the team.  He will get plenty of targets because the WRs outside of Antonio Bryant don’t pose a threat, but that will also mean he garners more attention from the opposing defense.  He’s going around the 7th round of fantasy drafts, and while he could finish with better numbers than Zach Miller of John Carlson, he’s a riskier proposition.  If he stays healthy he should catch 70 passes for 850 yards and 5 TDs.  I just wouldn’t bank on him playing a full season.

Kellen Winslow was traded from the Browns to Tampa.  He immediately upgrades their Tight End position and their passing attack, giving Antonio Bryant a compliment.  I don’t see Winslow’s value taking a hit, and I think he’ll enjoy playing for Raheem Morris.  In Cleveland, second-year TE Martin Rucker will get a chance to show his worth after putting up big numbers at Missouri in 2007.  Steve Heiden had his best year in 2005 when Winslow missed the season.  He should contribute as well. 
The Vikings also made a trade, acquiring Sage Rosenfels from the Texans.  Here’s the thing.  He turns 31 next week and has a whopping 562 pass attemps since 2002.  Of course, 414 have come the pass two years as Matt Schaub has been unable to stay healthy.  He’s played in 15 games over that stretch, completing 65.2% of his passes for 3115 yards with 21 TDs and 22 INTs.  Decent numbers, and an upgrade over Tarvaris Jackson, but not the best choice for a team knocking on the door of a playoff run.  He’s not throwing the ball to the likes of Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter, and Owen Daniels in Minnesota. 
The Patriots landed Fred Taylor.  New England is the master at milking the last few drops out of veterans.  He’ll be added to the mix of RBs Belichick has assembled.  I’m not sure there’s much fantasy value in him, but it’s worth pay attention to see what sort of role he carves out for himself.  LaMont Jordan will be looking for a new home thanks to Taylor’s signing.  Maurice Jones-Drew’s value sees an increase since he won’t have to split carries with Taylor anymore.

Cleveland Browns Preview

31 August 2008

The Browns were the surprise team last year.  Now that they can’t sneak up on anybody, I’m interested to see how they will do.

Offensivley they were one of the best units last year.  Derek Anderson was an unbelievable find racking up nearly 3800 yards and 29 TDs.  He suffered a concussion this preseason, which hopefully won’t carry with him into the seasons.  If it does, Brady Quinn will be waiting in the wings.  From what he’s shown this preseason, he needs a little more time learning the position.  At Running Back Jamal Lewis had a surprising year as well.  He tallied over 1550 total yards and 11 TDs.  He was particularly effective down the stretch.  At Wide Receiver the Browns added Donte Stallworth to compliment Braylon Edwards.  At Tight End Kellen Winslow is one of the game’s best. Their Offensive Line is great, anchored by second-year Left Tackle Joe Thomas.   They are even well-stocked in their return game with Joshua Cribbs.

Defense is, and will continue to be, their weekness.  They did add Shaun Rogers, which should help.  LB D’Qwell Jackson (101 Tackles) and FS Sean Jones (96 Tackles, 5 INTs) are their biggest playmakers.  They had a few guys with 4 or 5 Sacks, but nobody who put real pressure on the Defense.  Hopefully Rogers can either provide that pressure or draw enough attention that somebody else will be able to.

I think they will be decent this year, but I don’t see a playoff berth in their cards.  The AFC is just too loaded.  8 or 9 Wins is what I expect.

Fantasy-wise the Browns are stacked.  I’m not a huge DA guy, but he did produce monster numbers at QB.  I cant’ justify taking him early, so he’d only make it to my team if he fell into my lap.  Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow are beasts in their respective positions.  Jamal Lewis should be productive again, and as long as he seems to be associated with a decline like the Edge, he’ll be a great value.  Donte Stallworth is worth snagging as a 4th or 5th WR.  Phil Dawson is a solid Kicker.  I wouldn’t reach for him, but if he’s there on your last pick, he’s worthy of a roster spot.

2004 NFL Draft Re-mix

19 June 2008
Here’s a look back at the 2004 NFL Draft to see who the teams would take if they could do it over knowing what they know today.  This was a lot of fun making.  I hope you enjoy it. 

#1 San Diego Chargers – Larry Fitzgerald
So you keep Drew Brees and add a two-time Pro Bowl WR.  There is no QB controversy and you add a WR with a pair of 100 catch, 1400 yard, 10 TD seasons.

#2 Oakland Raiders – Ben Roethlisberger
To say Robert Gallery has been a disappoinment is a major understatement.  If they could do it over again they would add Big Ben, who has the arm and th moxie to lead Oakland out of the doldrums.

#3 Arizona Cardinals – Jared Allen
The Cardinals can’t let a high-energy pass rushing phenom get away.  They grab the 2007 NFL Sack leader here.  He has 230 Tackles and 43 Sacks in four seasons. 

#4 New York Giants – Eli Manning
We’ll avoid all of the nonsense that went on with this draft day trade and simply keep Eli Manning in New York, where he led them to a Super Bowl last year.  He has 11.385 yards and 77 TDs in four seasons.

#5 Washington Redskins – Sean Taylor
You can’t predict the tragedy that took Sean Taylor’s life.  I won’t disparage his memory by replacing him.

#6 Cleveland Browns – Vince Wilfork
Perhaps nobody clogs up the middle quite as well as Wilfork (listed at 6’2″, 325 lbs).  He’s racked up 195 Tackles and 5.5 Sacks in his career.  The game is won in the trenches, and Wilfork provides an immediate upgrade.

#7 Detroit Lions – Will Smith
Instead of drafting another Wide Receiver the Lions go with the Fresh Prince instead.  In four years he has 220 Tackles and 33.5 Sacks.  He’s never had less than 7 Sacks in a year. 

#8 Atlanta Falcons – Philip Rivers
DeAngelo Hall has skills, but he was such a pain that they shipped him out of town.  With Michael Vick a few years away from the cooler, the Falcons would be wise to grab Philip Rivers, who’s been pretty solid for San Diego.  The 2006 Pro Bowler has 6540 yards and 43 TDs (to only 24 INTs) the past two years.  He has a 86.6 career passer rating and a 60.8% completion percentage.

#9 Jacksonville Jaguars – Roy Williams
The Jags brought in Jerry Porter and Troy Williamson this year so you know their situation needs addressing.  They turn to Roy Williams who has 244 catches for 3650 Yards and 28 TDs in four years.

#10 Houston Texans – Steven Jackson
Action Jackson could have possibly gone sooner, but when you can address QB and defensive line needs, you do so.  Jackson has 4249 Rushing Yards, 1586 Receiving Yards, and 36 TDS (30 Rushing) in four years.  He has three straight 1000 yard seasons despite being hampered with an injury last year.

#11 Pittsburgh Steelers – Willie Parker
I guess this time they’ll have to draft two-time Pro Bowler Fast Willie.  He’s had three straight 1200+ yard seasons.  For his career he has 4198 Yards and 19 TDs.   

#12 New York Jets – Bob Sanders
Jonathan Vilma was a pretty good selection for the Jets, but considering they already chose to go in a different direction, I’ll pick Defensive Player of the Year Bob Sanders to bring some toughness to the Jets D.  He’s not big, but he packs a punch.  He has fought through injuries to rack up 251 Tackles, 3.5 Sacks, and 4 INTs.  He’s earned All-Pro and Pro Bowl honors in 2005 & 2007.

#13 Buffalo Bills – Lee Evans
Although he’s inconsistent, can you imagine the Bills without him?  They would be even more hurting at WR.  He has 233 Receptions for 3727 Yards, and 29 TDs.  If only I can convince him that month is December.

#14 Chicago Bears – Tommie Harris
Chicago  sticks with their pick and takes two-time All-Pro (3 Pro Bowls) DT Tommie Harris.  When healthy he’s one of the best in the game.  He has 141 Tackles and 19.5 Sacks to date.

#15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jonathan Vilma
Putting Vilma alongside Derrick Brooks would be a lot of fun.  Vilma has 441 Tackles, including 173 in 2005 earning him a Pro Bowl nod, and 6 INTs. 

#16 Philadelphia Eagles – Shawn Andrews
Anytime you draft a quality Offensive Lineman, you hold on to him if at all possible.  The Eagles are following that mantra by sticking with All-Pro (2 Pro Bowls) G Shawn Andrews.  He’s too important to their offense to pass up.

#17 Denver Broncos – Shaun Phillips
Not that D.J. Willimas hasn’t worked out for the Broncos, but Shaun Phillips is a little more dynamic.  He has 195 Tackles, 31 Sacks, and 3 INTs.

#18 New Orleans Saints – Kellen Winslow
The Saints go with Pro Bowl TE Kellen Winslow for another weapon in their passing attack.  He has back-to-back 80 reception seasons, including leading all TEs with 89 in 2006, as well as averaged 990 receiving yards the past two seasons. 

#19 Miami Dolphins – Jason Peters
Miami grabs All-Pro Tackle Jason Peters to improve their offensive line. 

#20 Minnesota Vikings – Chris Cooley
Short of weapons in the passing game, Minnesota turns to All-Pro TE Chris Cooley.  He has three straight 700+ yard seasons and 231 catches for 2608 Yards and 27 TDs. 

#21 New England Patriots – DeAngelo Hall
Hall is very talented and a pain in the butt.  The Patriots have enough veterans to keep him in line.  Plus, when he’s winning, he won’t have as much reason to grumble.  The two-time Pro Bowler has 203 Tackles and 17 INTs already.

#22 Buffalo Bills – D.J. Williams
The Bills bolster their LB corps with D.J. Williams, who has 388 Tackles in four years.  He’s coming off a 141 Tackle season.

#23 Seattle Seahawks – Darnell Dockett
The Seahawks correct their mistake of drafting DT Marcus Tubbs by selecting Pro Bowl DT Darnell Dockett.  He has 180 Tackles and 15 Sacks.  He had 9 Sacks last year to earn the Pro Bowl nod.

#24 St. Louis Rams – Julius Jones
With Steven Jackson long off the board, the Rams turn to Julius Jones to compliment Marshall Faulk.  He had 800+ rushing yards in his first three years in the league, and a total of 3484 with 18 TDs.  He’s also added 672 receiving yards.

#25 Green Bay Packers – Nathan Vasher
Pro Bowl CB Vasher represents and upgrade over Ahmad Carroll for the Packers.   He has 130 Tackles and 17 INTs.

#26 Cincinnati Bengals – Gibril Wilson
The Bengals turn to Safety Gibril Wilson, who has 365 Tackles, 6 Sacks, and 11 INTs.  He’s has averaged over 100 Tackles the past three years.

#27 Houston Texans – Matt Schaub
The Texans grab Matt Schaub since he’s their starting QB now.  He passed for 2241 Yards and 9 TDs in his first year starting, but was derailed by injuries.  He did have a Passer Rating of 87.2 and a 66.4% completion rate.

#28 Carolina Panthers – Chris Gamble
The Panthers stick with their selection of CB Chris Gamble.  He has 264 Tackles and 17 INTs.

#29 Atlanta Falcons – Dunta Robinson
Since they didn’t get DeAngelo Hall, the Falcons instead turn to Dunta Robinson, who had 80+ Tackles his first three years in the league.  He has 294 Tackles and 11 INTs. 

#30 Detroit Lions – Jerricho Cotchery
It wouldn’t be the Lions if they didn’t take a WR in the first round.  Cotchery has back-to-back 82 reception seasons and 2091 Yards over that two year span.  Considering Roy Williams has 2146 Yards, this isn’t that big of a downgrade.

#31 San Francisco 49ers – Stuart Schweigert
The 49ers bolster their secondary by adding Safety Schweigert.  He has 316 Tackles and 4 INTs. 

#32 New England Patriots – Madieu Williams
The Patriots make a second quality addition to their secondary with Safety Madieu Williams.  He has 290 Tackles, 4 Sacks, and 9 INTs.

Previous Re-Mixes
1998 Re-mix
1999 Re-mix
2000 Re-mix
2001 Re-mix
2002 Re-mix
2003 Re-mix

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