A discussion I’ve been having with a great baseball mind has led me to profile Jim Edmonds. 

Photo courtesy of TSN Archives/Icon SMI


 
The Numbers
1925 Games
7708 At Bats
.284 Batting Average
.528 Slugging %
.905 OPS
132 OPS+
1881 Hits
1207 Runs
414 Doubles
25 Triples
382 HRs
1176 RBIs
974 Walks
65 SBs

Five .300 Seasons
Four 100+ Run Seasons
Seven 30+ Double Seasons
Five 30+ HR Seasons
Four 100+ RBI Seasons

World Series:  2 World Series, 1 Ring, 64 Games, 230 At Bats, 63 Hits (.274), 33 Runs, 16 Doubles, 13 HRs, 43 RBIs, 30 Walks  

Awards
4-time All-Star
8 Gold Gloves
1 Silver Slugger
MVP Votes in 6 Seasons

Top Ten Finishes
Batting Average – Once
On-Base % – 3 Times
Slugging % - 3 Times
OPS – 3 Times
At Bats – Once
Runs – 3 Times
Hits – Once
Doubles – Once
Home Runs – 4 Times
RBIs – Twice
Walks – 4 Times
Extra-Base Hits – Twice
Intentional Walks – Twice

Hall of Fame Yardsticks:

Gray Ink Batting - 60 (407), Average HOFer ≈ 144
Hall of Fame Monitor Batting - 88 (183), Likely HOFer ≈ 100
Hall of Fame Standards Batting - 40 (144), Average HOFer ≈ 50
  
He certainly belongs in the Rawlings Gold Glove Hall of Fame because of his defensive prowess, but I’m on the fence for Cooperstown.  He did have a stretch of greatness from 1995-2005 (throwing out 1999 when he was limited to 55 games), where he averaged 99 Runs, 32 HRs, and 93 RBIs.  He collected all eight of his Gold Gloves during that stretch meaning he was one of the most complete players in the league for a decade.  He also had his share of postseason success in the second half of his career.  It would be easier to induct him if he reached 2000 Hits, but he had 1200 Runs and nearly 1200 RBIs.  He may have won even more Gold Gloves if it weren’t for Ken Griffey, Jr.  He doesn’t pass the name test for induction, but if you look into the numbers, I think he did just enough to get in.

References
Baseball-reference.com

Past Chronicles
Dick Allen
Roberto Alomar
Richie Ashburn*
Earl Averill*
Harold Baines

Dan Bancroft*
Jake Beckley*

Albert Belle
Jim Bottomley*
Pete Browning

Jim Bunning *
Bert Byleven
Joe Carter
Orlando Cepeda*
Rocky Colavito
Earle Combs*
Dave Concepcion
David Cone
Roger Connor*
Larry Corcoran

Stan Coveleski* 

Mike Cuellar
Kiki Cuyler*
Bill Dahlen
George Davis*
Andre Dawson 
Larry Doby*
Bobby Doerr*
Jimmie Dykes (Player/Manager)
Dwight Evans
Rick Ferrell*
Wes Ferrell
Chuck Finley
Steve Finley
Nellie Fox*
John Franco

Gary Gaetti
Steve Garvey
Lefty Gomez*
Luis Gonzalez
Dwight Gooden
Joe Gordon
Mark Grace
Bobby Grich
Charlie Grimm (Player/Manager)
Ron Guidry
Chick Hafey*
Jesse Haines*

Billy Herman*
Keith Hernandez
Orel Hershiser
Whitey Herzog (Manager)
Gil Hodges
Ralph Houk (Manager)
Waite Hoyt*
Shoeless Joe Jackson
Travis Jackson*
Tommy John
Bob Johnson
Addie Joss*
Jim Kaat
George Kell*
Joe Kelley*
George Kelly*
Tom Kelly (Manager)
Chuck Klein*
Jerry Koosman
Bill James & Pete Palmer
Barry Larkin
Tony Lazzeri*
Freddie Lindstrom*
Mickey Lolich
Ernie Lombardi*
Fred Lynn
Sherry Magee

Roger Maris
Rube Marquard*
Billy Martin (Player/Manager)
Dennis Martinez
Edgar Martinez
Bobby Matthews
Don Mattingly
Gene Mauch (Manager)
Carl Mays
Bill Mazeroski*
Fred McGriff

Mark McGwire
Bid McPhee
Johnny Mize*
Paul Molitor*
Jack Morris
Tony Mullane
Dale Murphy
Graig Nettles
Hal Newhouser*
Lefty O’Doul
Tony Oliva
Al Oliver

Buck O’Neill & Minnie Minoso
Dave Parker
Wes Parker
Lance Parrish
Vada Pinson
Boog Powell
Tim Raines
Willie Randolph
Pee Wee Reese*
Allie Reynolds
Jim Rice
Phil Rizzuto*
Brooks Robinson*
Pete Ro$e
Amos Rusie*
Jimmy Ryan
Ron Santo
Curt Schilling
Red Schoendienst* (Player/Manager)
Ted Simmons
Enos Slaughter*
Lee Smith
Rusty Staub
Vern Stephens
Dave Stieb
Mel Stottlemyre
Harry Stovey
Sam Thompson
Luís Tiant
Joe Torre
Alan Trammell

George Van Haltren
Arky Vaughan*
Mo Vaughn
Bobby Veach
Mickey Vernon
Frank Viola
Bucky Walters
Mickey Welch*
Lou Whitaker
Deacon White
Bernie Williams
Vic Willis*
Maury Wills 
Hack Wilson*
Ross Youngs*
Veterans Committee Ballot
 

* Signifies actual Hall of Famers

Beckett Banned

14 April 2009

josh-beckett-pitching
Image courtesy of Icon SMI

According to the Associated Press, Josh Beckett received a six-game suspension for intentionally throwing at Bobby Abreu of the Los Angeles Angels.  The incident occurred on Sunday, April 12th as the Angels beat the Red Sox 5-4.  Beckett gave up four Runs in six Innings.  His ERA rose to 3.46.  Beckett does have the right to appeal the suspension.  Even if the suspension is reduced, he’ll still miss one start.

You can add John Lackey to the growing list of disable Angels Starting Pitchers.

Lackey’s elbow has once again proven troublesome.  He got a cortisone shot last week, but will spend some time on the shelf.  Lackey owners shouldn’t be too alarmed.  They say the injury isn’t as bad as last year’s.  He didn’t pitch until mid-May and finished 12-5 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 130 Ks in 163-1/3 Innings.

Also slated to miss the start of the season are Ervin Santana (elbow) and Kelvim Escobar (shoulder).  Santana has been responding well to treatment and could be back in a month or so.  Escobar is also doing well as the team brings him along at a steady pace.  According to the L.A. Times, the Angels want to have Escobar on a 100-pitch count in a couple weeks and in the rotation by the end of April.

With the talented trio out of action, the Angels will lean on Nick Adenhart, Dustin Moseley and Shane Loux.  The Angels face the Red Sox, Yankees, and Twins in April, which means their 2009 season may get off to a bumpy start.


Written by Eric Stashin the Rotoprofessor

Entering 2008, Ervin Santana was a pitcher considered to have elite talent, if he ever could put things together.  In 2006 and 2007 he was a star pitching at home, but was terrible on the road, posting lines of:

  • 2006 – 87.2 IP, 6 W, 5.95 ERA
  • 2007 – 73.0 IP, 1 W, 8.38 ERA

He was one of those pitchers that you could use half the time, severely limiting his value for fantasy owners.  In 2008, his third full season as a major league pitcher, things suddenly clicked.  He was lights out nearly every time he toed the rubber, posting a line of:

16 Wins
219.0 Innings
3.49 ERA
1.12 WHIP
214 Strikeouts (8.79 K/9)
47 Walks (1.93 BB/9)
.302 BABIP

If there was nothing else surrounding him, I’d have entered 2009 concerned about a major regression.  Granted, perhaps he was a pitcher who needed time to adjust to life at the upper levels.  He made just 3 starts at Triple-A before making his debut, so his struggles should not have been a complete surprise.

The turnaround, and its completeness, just seems hard for me to believe.  For one was the strikeouts.  He had posted a career minor league K/9 of 8.6, but a 9.4 at Single-A in 2003 buoyed that.  In the major leagues he had shown some potential, with a 7.6 in 2007, but the rise seems a bit unrealistic.  A regression was likely.

The same could be said for the walks, with a minor league career BB/9 of 2.8.  In his three partial seasons prior to last year, his number was over 3.0 every season.  I’m just not buying the incredible drop-off.

Those two things would have been enough for me to be skeptical, to shy away from him.  Not avoid him, but not be willing to gamble on him as high as he was being drafted.

Now, the injury bug has crept into the discussion.  He is suffering from a sprained MCL, causing him to be shutdown for the time being.  Mike Scioscia was quoted in the Los Angeles Times as saying, “We don’t anticipate it being something that’s going to set him back for any appreciable part of the season, but we’re certainly going to take it slow and work him back to where he needs to be”.

That doesn’t sound like a serious problem, but it would appear that he is likely to miss the bulk of April.  Let’s not forget, at this time last season the word going around about Kelvim Escobar’s injury was something minor, something that was only going to cost him a month.  Next thing we knew, his season was over, his career was in question and he’s still not ready to return to the mound (May appears to be the earliest, which is still ahead of schedule).

I’m not going to suggest that Santana will follow a similar path, but at this point who really knows.  Could Santana return quickly and post numbers similar to what he did last season?  Of course, anything is possible, but then again he could struggle as well.  Whenever a pitcher is dealing with shoulder problems, there is significant cause for concern.

What the Angels will do to replace him in the rotation is questionable.  They had three pitchers competing for the fifth spot, so it would appear now two of them are in line to break camp with the team (barring the signing of a pitcher like Pedro Martinez).  The in-house candidates, Dustin Moseley, Shane Loux and Nick Adenhart, do not inspire much confidence among fantasy owners.

Let’s take a look:

  • Moseley – The former 2000 First Round Draft Pick has posted a minor league ERA of 4.44 over 904.0 innings and a 5.52 ERA over parts of three major league seasons.
  • Adenhart – Long considered a top prospect, he was awful over three starts in the major leagues last season as well as struggling to a 5.76 ERA at Triple-A.  He likely has the highest ceiling and could be worth watching, if he can get things straightened out, but that is a huge if at this point.
  • Loux – A Second Round Draft Pick in 1997, he has a career minor league ERA of 4.45 over 10 seasons and a major league ERA of 6.41.

If you are an owner who already has Santana, look elsewhere.

As far as those still considering him, I’d certainly tread carefully.  He currently has an ADP of 99.60 (and falling), according to Mock Draft Central, putting him in the middle of the eighth round.  With my fears about a regression, I wouldn’t have taken him that early anyways, but when you factor in the injury there’s no way.

If he slips, and I mean significantly, then I’d consider stashing him away.  His lowest draft position is at 142, the eleventh round, and that’s just not enough for me.  I have too much concern, especially with a shoulder injury, to take him in a spot where he would be a prime piece to my rotation.

What about you?  Is Santana someone you are still considering or are you like me and passing on him altogether?

Picture courtesy of Icon Sports Media, Inc.


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