2011 NBA Mock Draft

20 June 2011


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1. Cleveland Cavaliers – Kyrie Irving, PG, Duke
The Cavs have Baron Davis, but it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know he’s not the future. Irving is the best of a shallow draft class.
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2.  Minnesota Timberwolves – Derrick Williams, PF, Arizona
With Rubio agreeing to finally play for the Wolves missing out on the number one pick doesn’t sting as bad. They don’t need another four, but Williams is too good to pass up. Dealing the number two pick remains a strong likelihood.
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3.  Utah Jazz – Brandon Knight, PG, Kentucky
Kemba Walker made noise in the NCAA tournament, but Knight has better size for the NBA game. Steph Curry is proving people wrong, but he’s more the exception than the rule. Devin Harris is an injury risk, but would allow Knight not to be rushed into too big of a role too soon.
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4.  Cleveland Cavaliers – Enes Kanter, PF/C, Kentucky
Talent out and talent in for Kentucky. After five first rounders last year, two go in the top four picks.  The Cavs added their point guard with the first pick, now they add a solid big.
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5.  Toronto Raptors – Kemba Walker, PG, UConn
The Raptors have Jose Calderon for two more years, and Jerryd Bayless looked solid at times. With shooting guard (DeMar DeRozan), center(Andrea Bargnani), and power forward (Ed Davis & Amir Johnson) situated, it’s a good time to add depth at point guard.
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6.  Washington Wizards – Jan Vesely, SF/PF, Czech Republic
Besides looking like the dude (Jesse Eisenberg) that played the dude (Mark Zuckerberg) that invented facebook, Vesely figures to be a solid small forward in the NBA. This year’s crop of players truly has an international feel.
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7.  Sacramento Kings – Bismack Biyombo, PF, Congo
Biyombo can help Cousins patrol the paint, allowing last year’s rookie sensation to focus more on his offensive game.
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8.  Detroit Pistons – Kawhi Leonard, SF, San Diego State
The Pistons will have a void at small forward if Tayshaun Prince does not return. Leonard has the athleticism to play the three and is rugged enough to slide over to the four. Leonard averaged 14.1 points and 10.2 years in his two years at SDSU.
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9.  Charlotte Bobcats – Jonas Valanciunas, C, Lithuania
No offense to Kwame Brown, who played well at times last year, but the Bobcats need improvement in the middle. He is a bit of a project, but has great promise.
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10. Milwaukee Bucks – Alec Burks, SG, Colorado
The Bucks don’t have a particular hole to fill, but have their biggest need at the shooting guard position. Burks has ideal size and athleticism and a scoring touch, averaging 17.1 as a freshman and 20.5 as a sophomore.
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11.  Golden State Warriors – Jimmer Fredette, PG, BYU
Stephen Curry and Monta Ellis both have injury concerns. Fredette would give them a scorer that can hit from anywhere on the floor.
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12.  Utah Jazz – Marcus Morris, SF/PF, Kansas
Morris has the ability to play either forward positions, but is more suited for small forward in the NBA. He joins Paul Milsap, Al Jefferson, and Derrick Favors to form a solid frontcourt.
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13.  Phoenix Suns – Klay Thompson, SG, Washington State
Mychal Thompson’s son averaged 22.1 points per game in his junior year. He has good size and a pure jump shot. With an $18 million option on Vince Carter and 38-year old Grant Hill entering free agency, the Suns have a void at the two-guard.
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14. Houston Rockets – Donatas Motiejunas, PF, Lithuania
The Rockets don’t have any glaring holes, but the could use some more size in the middle. At seven feet and lefty he could give Houston a nice scoring touch on the offensive side and an interior presence on the defensive side.
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15.  Indiana Pacers – Chris Singleton, SF, Florida State
There are some rumblings that Danny Granger could be moved in a draft day trade. Singleton could soften the blow and provide a defensive spark at small forward.
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16.  Philadelphia 76ers – Markieff Morris, PF/C, Kansas
The lesser of the Morris twins, but he would provide good frontcourt depth for a team short on quality bigs.
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17.  New York Knicks – Tristan Thompson, PF, Texas
Thompson gives the Knicks another banger inside to help A’mare.
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18.  Washington Wizards – Tyler Honeycutt, SF, UCLA
The Wizards have good young talent everywhere except for small forward. Vesely and Honeycutt would change that.
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19.  Charlotte Bobcats – Jordan Hamilton, SF, Texas
The Bobcats need to add depth at the swing position.
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20.  Minnesota Timberwolves – Marshon Brooks, SG, Providence
Wesley Johnson established himself as the starter, but Brooks would give Wayne Ellington some competition for backup minutes.
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21.  Portland Trail Blazers – Darius Morris, PG, Michigan
The Blazers really don’t have many holes, but they could use point guard depth.
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22.  Denver Nuggets – Kenneth Faried, PF, Morehead State
The Nuggets’ biggest weakness is at power forward and Faried is the best one available.
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23.  Houston Rockets – Reggie Jackson, PG/SG, Boston College
Having added a big man earlier in the draft, the Rockets grab an athletic combo guard.
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24.  Oklahoma City Thunder – Tobias Harris, SF/PF, Tennessee
Tobias is best available and fits a need as the Thunder don’t have much behind Durant or Ibaka at the three and the four.
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25.  Boston Celtics – Trey Thompkins, PF, Georgia
The Kendrick Perkins trade did not pay off and the Celtics need to add frontcourt depth.
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26.  Dallas Mavericks – Kyle Singler, SF, Duke
The champs can’t count on Shawn Marion forever so taking a decorated wing player makes sense.
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27.  New Jersey Nets – Josh Selby, PG, Kansas
Selby could push Jordan Farmar as D-Will’s backup. He could also see some time at the two.
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28.  Chicago Bulls – JaJuan Johnson, PF, Purdue
Gives the Bulls added length and athleticism.
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29.  San Antonio Spurs –  Davis Bertans, SF, Lativa
Bertans is a long small forward with great range. The Spurs are thin at the wing position and have success with international players.
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30.  Chicago Bulls – Iman Shumpert, PG/SG, Georgia Tech
Shumpert could cut his teeth backing up Rose, but should make his mark at the two.
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DC Pro Sports Report 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database
Walter Football 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database
BetFirms 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database


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1. Cleveland Cavaliers – Kyrie Irving, PG, Duke
Luck, yeah that’s what we’ll call it, was on the Cavs side as they brought home the number one pick. This trend of building a team around a dominant point guard continues. Irving and the fourth pick of the 2011 NBA draft will help the rebuilding process.
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2.  Minnesota Timberwolves – Derrick Williams, PF, Arizona
The Wolves get screwed again. Go figure. You can spin it any way you want, but there is no way a team has the futility that the Wolves have had in the NBA Lottery without some help. Not have they never improved their draft standing in the lottery, more often than not they lose ground. The Wolves have Kevin Love and Michael Beasley already, but Williams is to good to pass up. Hopefully Kahn can use him as a trade chip to at least improve the team.
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3.  Utah Jazz – Brandon Knight, PG, Kentucky
Kemba Walker made noise in the NCAA tournament, but Knight has better size for the NBA game. Steph Curry is proving people wrong, but he’s more the exception than the rule. Devin Harris is an injury risk, but would allow Knight not to be rushed into too big of a role too soon.
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4.  Cleveland Cavaliers – Enes Kanter, PF, Kentucky
Talent out and talent in for Kentucky. After five first rounders last year, two go in the top four picks.  The Cavs added their point guard with the first pick, now they add a solid big.
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5.  Toronto Raptors – Kemba Walker, PG, UConn
The Raptors have Jose Calderon for two more years, and Jerryd Bayless looked solid at times. With shooting guard (DeMar DeRozan), center(Andrea Bargnani), and power forward (Ed Davis & Amir Johnson) situated, it’s a good time to add depth at point guard.
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6.  Washington Wizards – Jan Vesely, SF/PF, Czech Republic
Besides looking like the dude (Jesse Eisenberg) that played the dude (Mark Zuckerberg) that invented facebook, Vesely figures to be a solid small forward in the NBA. This year’s crop of players truly has an international feel.
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7.  Sacramento Kings – Bismack Biyombo, PF, Congo
Biyombo can help Cousins patrol the paint, allowing last year’s rookie sensation to focus more on his offensive game.
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8.  Detroit Pistons – Kawhi Leonard, SF, San Diego State
The Pistons will have a void at small forward if Tayshaun Prince does not return. Leonard has the athleticism to play the three and is rugged enough to slide over to the four. Leonard averaged 14.1 points and 10.2 years in his two years at SDSU.
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9.  Charlotte Bobcats – Jonas Valanciunas, C, Lithuania
No offense to Kwame Brown, who played well at times last year, but the Bobcats need improvement in the middle. He is a bit of a project, but has great promise.
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10. Milwaukee Bucks – Alec Burks, SG, Colorado
The Bucks don’t have a particular hole to fill, but have their biggest need at the shooting guard position. Burks has ideal size and athleticism and a scoring touch, averaging 17.1 as a freshman and 20.5 as a sophomore.
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11.  Golden State Warriors – Jimmer Fredette, PG, BYU
Stephen Curry and Monta Ellis both have injury concerns. Fredette would give them a scorer that can hit from anywhere on the floor.
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12.  Utah Jazz – Marcus Morris, SF/PF, Kansas
Morris has the ability to play either forward positions, but is more suited for small forward in the NBA. He joins Paul Milsap, Al Jefferson, and Derrick Favors to form a solid frontcourt.
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13.  Phoenix Suns – Klay Thompson, SG, Washington State
Mychal Thompson’s son averaged 22.1 points per game in his junior year. He has good size and a pure jump shot. With an $18 million option on Vince Carter and 38-year old Grant Hill entering free agency, the Suns have a void at the two-guard.
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14. Houston Rockets – Donatas Motiejunas, PF, Lithuania
The Rockets don’t have any glaring holes, but the could use some more size in the middle. At seven feet and lefty he could give Houston a nice scoring touch on the offensive side and an interior presence on the defensive side.
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DC Pro Sports Report 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database
Walter Football 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database
BetFirms 2011 NBA Mock Draft Database

I posted my lottery picks last month. Here’s a look at the whole first round.

1.Washington Wizards – John Wall, PG, Kentucky
Nothing has changed to move Wall out of the top spot.

2.  Philadelphia 76ers – Evan Turner, SG, Ohio State
Turner remains the Sixers’ best choice.

3.  New Jersey Nets – Derrick Favors, PF, Georgia Tech
Favors remains the logical choice to bolster the Nets’ frontline.

4.  Minnesota Timberwolves – DeMarcus Cousins, C, Kentucky
While Wesley Johnson fills a need at the small forward position, they are easier to come by than true centers. Cousins gives the Wolves a force in the middle to pair with undersized Al Jefferson and/or Kevin Love.

5.  Sacramento Kings – Greg Monroe, C, Georgetown
With Cousins moving up a slot in this mock, the Kings go for Monroe instead to solidify the middle.

6.  Golden State Warriors – Wesley Johnson, SF, Syracuse
Johnson slips to Warriors, who gladly snatch him up. He is a great fit in their system as he can run the floor and stretch defenses with his three-point ability.

7.  Detroit Pistons – Ekpe Udoh, PF, Baylor
Udoh gives the Pistons a talented big man that can help out on both ends of the court. His shot blocking ability will be coveted.

8.  Los Angeles Clippers – Al-Farouq Aminu, SF, Wake Forest
The Clippers continue to put the pieces together as Aminu fills as need at small forward. With Baron Davis, Eric Gordon, Aminu, Blake Griffin, and Chris Kaman, the Clippers have a talented, young nucleus.

9.  Utah Jazz – Cole Aldrich, C, Kansas
The Jazz were exposed for their lack of size against the Lakers. Aldrich gives them a better chance to advance.

10.   Indiana Pacers – Ed Davis, PF, North Carolina
Davis could end up one of the top 3-5 players in this draft. Getting him at ten, while filling a need, is a steal for the Pacers.

11.  New Orleans Hornets – Patrick Patterson, PF, Kentucky
What Patterson lacks in size, he makes up for it with ability. Chris Paul will fall in love with him.

12.  Memphis Grizzlies – Luke Babbitt, SF, Nevada
Babbitt won’t confuse anybody for a defensive stopper, but he is very talented offensively. He gives Memphis another shooter.

13.  Toronto Raptors – Hassan Whiteside, C, Marshall
Assuming Chris Bosh does not return to the Raptors, it’s rebuilding time. That affords them to take the raw Whiteside and allow him to develop. He should be a force immediately on defense and grow into an offensive player.

14.  Houston Rockets – Daniel Orton, C, Kentucky
Even if Yao Ming is healthy, they need insurance in case he is injured again. Orton needs some time to develop, which the Rockets can provide him as long as Yao is healthy.

15.  Milwaukee Bucks – Gordon Hayward, SF, Butler
Hayward made a name for himself in Butler’s impressive tourney run. He gives the Bucks another smart player that can knock down open shots.
continue reading »

Here’s my first crack at a 2010 NBA Mock Draft. I’ll start with just the lottery picks. Click here for my updated 2010 NBA Mock Draft.

 

1.  Washington Wizards – John Wall, PG, Kentucky
Point Guards are the name of the game in this league it seems. Washington could consider Evan Turner since they have Arenas, but they can’t pass on the draft’s top prospect.

 

2.  Philadelphia 76ers – Evan Turner, SG, Ohio State
There is always a chance that they trade out of this slot, but I doubt it. Instead they’ll add Turner to their backup with Jrue Holiday and slide Iggy over to the 3.

 

3.  New Jersey Nets – Derrick Favors, PF, Georgia Tech
The Nets were removed from the LeBron Sweepstakes when they failed to land the #1 pick. While it would have been nice to land Wall, they can plug in Favors, and athletic big man, to play alongside Brook Lopez.

 

4.  Minnesota Timberwolves – Wesley Johnson, SF, Syracuse
Back-to-back years the Wolves nab a top Syracuse player. Johnson gives the Wolves a talented wing player, a position of need. His three-point shooting can help stretch th floor. Of course, the Wolves make so many trades that it’s hard to predict what they’ll do.

 

5.  Sacramento Kings –  DeMarcus Cousins, PF/C, Kentucky
If Cousins didn’t have baggage (maturity, weight issues, inconsistency) he would likely be the top big man selected in this draft. There is still time for him to move up, or slide down if he doesn’t impress. For now I’ll add him to the Kings’ frontcourt.

 

6.  Golden State Warriors – Al-Farouq Aminu, SF, Wake Forest
Aminu is very athletic and should thrive in the Warriors system. Gives them a boost in rebounding and defense.

 

7. Detroit Pistons – Greg Monroe, PF/C, Georgetown 
Monroe gives the Pistons length. He’s not a great rebounder or defender, but has the best passing skills of any big man in this draft.

continue reading »

NBA Lottery Rant

19 May 2010

nba-draft-lottery

 

I may sound like a broken record, but the way the NBA handles their draft infuriates me every year. I still can’t for the life of me understand while the media and general public does not call the NBA out for having a lottery system in the first place. They have so little trust that NBA teams won’t tank that they actually have to have measures to protect against that. Baseball gets ripped for the steroids, where it’s going on in every sport, but the NBA tries to sell of the excitement of the draft as a cover-up for a tanking concern.

 

In every other sport the worst team gets the first overall pick (which could actually be a detriment in the NFL, but the intentions are good and that’s a conversation for another day) in order to give them a chance to improve. Not so in the NBA. They devised a ridiculous formula that flat-out doesn’t work. You don’t have to be a math genius to figure out something’s rotten in Denmark. All too often the team with the best odds doesn’t get the number one pick. That goes against mathematical probabilities. Here’s a look at the teams that ended up with the #1 pick and the odds.

 

2010:  Washington Wizards got the #1 pick with the 5th best odds
2009:  LA Clippers got the #1 with the 3rd best odds
2008: Chicago got the #1 pick with the 9th best odds
2007: Portland got the #1 with the 7th best odds
2006: Toronto got #1 with 4th best odds
2005: Milwaukee got the #1 pick with the 6th best odds
2004: Orlando got the #1 pick with the 1st best odds
2003: Cleveland got the #1 pick with the 1st best odds
2005: Milwaukee got #1 with 6th best odds
2002: Houston got #1 with 5th best odds
2001: Washington got #1 with 3rd best odds (Michael Jordan’s first pick, hmm)
2000: New Jersey got #1 with 7th best odds (Former NBA exec Rod Thorn’s first year with NJ, hmm)
1999: Chicago got #1 with 3rd best odds
1998: LA Clippers got #1 with 3rd best odds
1997: San Antonio got #1 with 3rd best odds
1996: Philadelphia got #1 with 2nd best odds
1995: Golden State got #1 with 5th best odds
1994: Milwaukee got #1 with 4th best odds
1993: Orlando got #1 with 11th best odds (1 in 66 chances, hmm)
1992: Orlando got #1 with 2nd best odds
1991: Charlotte got #1 with 5th best odds

 

So why would the NBA want the Washington Bullets, I mean the Wizards to get the number one pick? Simple. Gilbert Arenas disgraced the city and gave the NBA a bad name. What better way to put that fiasco behind you than awarding them John Wall. People are talking about Wall now and how Arenas has to adjust his game. The gun scandal is an afterthought.

 

I’m going to continue to be skeptical about the draft until they actually show us the ping pong balls. There have been too many instances where the two teams with the best odds have failed to get the top pick. In the last 20 years the team with the best odds only landed the top pick twice. The number two team landed it twice. That’s four times in 20 years of 20 percent of the time. The problem is, that number should be twice as high. That’s the same as the team with the 5th best odds won. The team with the third best odds has won five times. It’s staggering that 55 percent of the time the #1 pick goes to the team with the 3rd, 4th, or 5th best odds.

The Los Angeles Clippers stole the show in L.A. by winning the Blake Griffin Sweepstakes by drawing the first pick in the NBA Lottery.  The Clippers had the third best chance of winning the lottery with 13.8% odds.  Memphis jumped up into the second spot with the sixth best odds and Oklahoma City jump into third with the fourth best odds.  Sacramento went into the lottery the statistical favorite to get the #1 pick at 25%, but they fell to the 4th pick.  Washington had the second best odds at 19.9%, but fell to the 5th pick.  There are still only three teams to have won the lottery with the best odds since 1990.  That isn’t how it’s supposed to work.  It’s a pathethic system.  Minnesota once again did not move up.  They never hav in their history.  They slid down to the sixth pick despite fifth best odds.

Here”s the Draft Order:

1. L.A. Clippers
2. Memphis
3. Oklahoma City
4. Sacramento
5. Washington
6. Minnesota
7. Golden State
8. New York
9. Toronto
10. Milwaukee
11. New Jersey
12. Charlotte
13. Indiana
14. Phoenix

NBA Lottery Tonight

19 May 2009

nba-draft-lottery

Team
Record
Combos
1st
2nd
3rd
Sacramento 17 – 65 250 25.00% 21.47% 17.72%
Washington 19 – 63 199 19.90% 18.78% 17.07%
LA Clippers 19 – 63 138 13.80% 14.24% 14.54%
Oklahoma 23 – 59 137 13.70% 14.16% 14.48%
Minnesota 24 – 58 76 7.60% 8.44% 9.47%
Memphis 24 – 58 75 7.50% 8.33% 9.37%
Golden State 29 – 53 43 4.30% 4.93% 5.77%
New York 32 – 50 28 2.80% 3.26% 3.87%
Toronto 33 – 49 17 1.70% 2.00% 2.40%
Milwaukee 34 – 48 11 1.10% 1.30% 1.57%
New Jersey 34 – 48 8 0.80% 0.95% 1.15%
Charlotte 35 – 47 7 0.70% 0.83% 1.01%
Indiana 36 – 46 6 0.60% 0.71% 0.87%
Phoenix 46 – 36 5 0.50% 0.59% 0.72%

One of my least favorite sporting events kicks off tonight. Yep, I’m talking about the NBA Lottery. I have two serious problems with it.

First, the whole idea of a draft is to allow the worst teams to improve for league parity. However, in the NBA the worst team isn’t always rewarded because they implemented a lottery so teams wouldn’t throw games in 1985 to get Patrick Ewing. That’s ridiculous. If you can’t trust that teams are on the up and up, then why bother watching it? I mean baseball, football, and hockey don’t have lotteries. Why should the NBA? Don’t tell me it’s because with only five people on the court, it’s easier to control the outcome. In baseball a Pitcher can walk batters and groove pitches. In football a QB could throw picks. In hockey it would be easy to pass the puck to the opponent. If teams want to lose without making it look obvious, it can be done.

The second reason is they don’t show you the selection process. I’m sorry, but if you don’t trust your teams enough to do the right thing, why should I believe the league will. There are too many examples of how teams beat the odds for high picks.

2009:  LA Clippers got the #1 with the 3rd best odds
2008: Chicago got the #1 pick with the 9th best odds
2007: Portland got the #1 with the 7th best odds
2006: Toronto got #1 with 4th best odds
2005: Milwaukee got #1 with 6th best odds
2002: Houston got #1 with 5th best odds
2001: Washington got #1 with 3rd best odds (Michael Jordan’s first pick, hmm)
2000: New Jersey got #1 with 7th best odds (Former NBA exec Rod Thorn’s first year with NJ, hmm)
1999: Chicago got #1 with 3rd best odds
1998: LA Clippers got #1 with 3rd best odds
1997: San Antonio got #1 with 3rd best odds
1996: Philadelphia got #1 with 2nd best odds
1995: Golden State got #1 with 5th best odds
1994: Milwaukee got #1 with 4th best odds
1993: Orlando got #1 with 11th best odds (1 in 66 chances, hmm)
1992: Orlando got #1 with 2nd best odds
1991: Charlotte got #1 with 5th best odds

In all their years in the NBA Lottery the Minnesota Timberwolves have never moved up in the lottery. Since 1990 only three teams with the worst record got the #1 pick. That’s not exactly the way it’s supposed to work.

Enough of my griping. Here’s a video of what’s up for grabs:


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