Eli Manning throw
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New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning has had many highs and lows during his 10 years in the NFL. He went from having a low completion percentage and a high interception total to winning a pair of Super Bowls. In a year in which his big brother, Peyton Manning, is having his best season ever, Eli is having his worst. Is it time for fantasy football owners to dump Eli Manning?
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Manning struggled with his accuracy in his first four seasons, averaging a 54.7 mark during that span. In the next five years Eli stepped up his game, averaging a 61.3 mark. He has fell back to the early days this year, sporting a 53.7 completion percentage through six games.
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Interceptions have always been an issue for Eli. In his first 137 games Eli threw 144 picks. He has thrown at least 15 interceptions in eight of his nine full seasons. Technically, this year isn’t a full season, but he already hit that mark. In fact, he’s on pace to throw 40 interceptions this year.
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Eli’s passer rating on the year is 64. He has not posted a number that low since his rookie season. Now matter how you slice it, he’s having a terrible season.
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There have been some bright spots. He is averaging 286.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game. That puts him on pace for 4,589 yards and 24 touchdowns.
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There is reason to believe that he will continue to throw for a lot of yards. The Giants don’t have much or a running game or a capable defense. They will have to rely on Eli’s arm out of necessity. They will also have to throw often to keep pace with the competition.
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Manning has the weapons to succeed. Victor Cruz is one of the best in the game. He simply makes explosive plays. He already has 541 yards and four touchdowns. Hakeem Nicks is returning to form. You have to worry about injuries with Nicks, but he has 442 yards. Rueben Randle has emerged as one of the best third receivers in the game. He has 333 yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Brandon Myers has 208 yards and a score. Eli will produce big numbers with this quartet.
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He’ll need to cut down on the mistakes. I’m not expecting him to take care of the football like his brother, but he needs to cut his interception rate in half. Given his track record and the amount of work he puts in, I expect improvement.
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The schedule works in his favor. Other than a date with the Seattle Seahawks in Week 15, the Giants don’t face any elite defenses the rest of the way.
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I’m not saying you have to start Eli, but he should at least be on fantasy rosters at this point.
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We are hours away from the start of the sixth week of the 2013 NFL season as the New York Giants (five games) and thee Chicago Bears (two games) try to stop their respective losing streak. It’s also the kickoff for the sixth week of the fantasy football season. Here’s a look of players that should be in your lineups tonight.
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Quarterbacks
Bears quarterback Jay Cutler is averaging 273.6 yards and a pair of touchdowns per game this season. The development of Alshon Jeffery and the addition of Martellus Bennett gives Cutler a full assortment of weapons. His success should continue against the G-Men. They have allowed 269.2 yards and 2.4 touchdowns per game through the air. Cutler is a very good start this week.
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Giants quarterback Eli Manning is averaging 296.4 yards and 1.6 touchdowns. Unfortunately he’s also averaging 2.4 touchdowns per game. Without a capable running game, it will fall on Eli’s shoulders. The Bears are known for creating turnovers so Eli is a risky play. With his set of weapons, he’s also capable of putting up a big game. It depends on how risky you want to get.
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Running Backs
Bears running back Matt Forte is a must start. He is averaging 115 total yards and 0.6 touchdown. He’s an elite back that fits well in Chicago’s system. He has a favorable matchup as the Giants have allowed 126 yards and a touchdown per game on the ground. Michael Bush isn’t getting enough work to merit fantasy consideration.
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I would avoid both Brandon Jacobs and Da’Rel Scott. The Giants simply haven’t been able to muster a decent running game. If I had to choose one, it would be Jacobs.
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Wide Receivers
The Bears have a pair of quality options at wide receiver. Brandon Marshall is a lock. He is averaging 75.6 yards and 0.6 touchdowns. Alshon Jeffery is averaging 97.2 total yards and 0.4 touchdowns. In his last two games he’s averaging 162.5 yards and a score. The Giants have struggled in pass defense making this a good opportunity for both Marshall and Jeffery.
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The Giants have a trio of quality receiver options. Victor Cruz should be in every lineup. He is averaging 94.6 yards and 0.8 touchdowns per game. Hakeem Nicks is averaging 74.4 yards after catching nine passes for 142 yards last week. He is a solid fantasy option. Rueben Randle is averaging 51.6 yards per game. He scored a pair of touchdowns last week among his six catches for 96 yards. He is a less attractive option than the other wideouts in this game, but he’s worth a consideration.
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Tight Ends
Bears tight end Martellus Bennett is good fantasy option against his former team. He is averaging 56.2 yards and 0.6 touchdowns. They Giants have allowed 12 passing touchdowns already.
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Giants tight end Brandon Myers is dealing with an ankle injury. After combining for 140 yards and a touchdown in the first two games, he has averaged 22.7 yards in his past three. He’s not a recommended play.
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Kickers
Bears kicker Robbie Gould has eight field goals and 13 extra points. The Giants have allowed 12 field goals and 20 extra points. He’s a solid option this week.
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Josh Brown has four field goals and 10 extra points. The Bears have allowed 14 field goals and 14 extra points. The Giants offense has made it hard to trust Brown.
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Defenses
The Bears have struggled defensively, but they are all about creating turnovers. They have 14 takeaways. The Giants have turned the ball over 20 times already. They G-Men also rank 30th in scoring offense with 16.4 points per game. You may not get your bonuses for total yards allowed, but the potential for a defensive score offsets that. Chicago is a quality option this week for defense.
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The Giants defense isn’t worth the risk. They have been bad.
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David Wilson
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An early fumble landed David Wilson in Tom Coughlin’s doghouse. Wilson did not fumble the rest of the season, but managed to get just 71 rushing attempts on the season. Ahmad Bradshaw went to the Indianapolis Colts, opening the door for Wilson, last year’s first round pick out of Virginia Tech. Will Wilson take that opportunity and run with it?
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Wilson has definitely shown some serious explosiveness. He averaged 5.0 yards per carry. His four touchdowns came from 40, 6, 52 and 14 yards. He also took a kickoff 97 yards to the house. Wilson led the NFL with 1,533 kickoff return yards. His 26.9 yards per return average ranked sixth in the league. He consistently got the job done in the return game.
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Unfortunately, that consistency did not transfer over to the offensive side of the ball. Rotoworld’s Evan Silva did an amazing job breaking down Wilson’s rookie season. He concluded that 188 of Wilson’s 392 total yards came on seven plays. That’s a whopping 26.9 yards per play. On his other 68 touches Wilson averaged 3.0 yards per play.
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Wilson only had three games with double-digit carries. Without consistent carries, it’s hard to get established and into a groove that will allow you to consistently move the chains. In the three games with double-digit carries he averaged 5.8 yards per carry. Even if you take away his longest run from each game (52, 25, 15), he still averaged 3.7 yards per game. Wilson also had 26 or his 34 receiving yards in those games.
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Now that it’s Wilson’s show, you can expect more of that.
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Wilson will still need to do the bulk of his scoring on long runs though. Andre Brown ran for eight touchdowns last year and will serve as the Giants’ goal-line back. At 6’0″ and 227 pounds, Brown is better suited for that pounding than the 5’9″ and 205 pound Wilson.
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Wilson is still the back you want to own out of the Giants’ backfield. One area that he’ll have to improve is his play in the passing game. He was targeted nine times last year and only caught four of them. Bradshaw and Brown combined for 35 receptions on 48 targets. Wilson will need to show improved pass protection to stay on the field more on third downs to increase his reception total.
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Wilson has a ton of potential, but you’re going to have to take him fairly early to land him. Currently his FantasyPros average draft position is 41, with Wilson being the 20th ranked running back. I expect him to climb up the draft boards. I’ve bought in, ranking him 11th among running backs.
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What are your expectations for Wilson in 2013?
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Eli Manning under Center
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As big brother Peyton Manning has been on a remarkable tear towards the top of the fantasy quarterback rankings, Eli has plummeted in just as spectacular fashion.
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Is it time for fantasy players to put the Giants’ passing attack on ice?
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There is definitely a case to be made.
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In his last five games Eli Manning has thrown two touchdowns to six interceptions. That horrible ratio is only part of the story.
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Eli has averaged 212.4 passing yards during the stretch. In three of the games he was held below 200 yards. In half of the Giants ten games he has thrown for 215 or fewer yards. He has only thrown multiple touchdowns in three games this year.
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Eli also has nearly as many interceptions (11) on the year as touchdown passes (12).
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Obviously Eli isn’t the only player that’s hurting fantasy teams. Wide Receiver Victor Cruz hasn’t scored in three straight games. To make matters worse, he’s averaging just 38.7 yards per game during the stretch.
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Hakeem Nicks had a solid game in Week 10 with nine catches for 75 yards, but his knee has kept him from playing big. He has just one touchdown on the year and has only hit 80 yards in one game. Nicks  had 199 yards in the second week of the season, and has averaged 44.3 yards without a score in his other five games.
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Tight End Martellus Bennett hasn’t scored since the third week and has averaged 32.3 yards in his past seven games.
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The Giants have a bye next week to hopefully figure some things out.
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The remaining schedule is pass-friendly. The face the Packers, Redskins, Saints, Falcons, and Ravens coming out of the bye. There should be better days ahead.
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Don’t do anything drastic with your Giants passing game members. Cruz and Nicks almost have to be in  your lineup because you likely don’t have better options to gamble on. I can see sitting Eli, but with the schedule it may be hard to do so. Bennett is the guy you can most likely keep on the shelf.
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By Will Strome, Columunist, NFLWeather.com
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High school was the last time most NFL players traveled to and from an away game on the same day. Sunday for the Pittsburgh Steelers will be just that when the team leaves mid-morning for their business trip to the Big Apple against the Giants. And after all the damage Super storm Sandy left in her wake across the East Coast, the sun will finally shine down on a region that needs it so desperately.
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NFLWeather.com forecasts a high near 51 with clear skies above Giants Stadium for a top notch week 9 match-up. Northwestern winds could top off around 15 mph so come fourth quarter there should be quite a chill rolling in.
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The reason the Steelers will leave the day of the game and fly back immediately after was because their Westin Hotel in Jersey City, NJ was without power. They were unable to find a hotel with enough vacant rooms and wanted to avoid disrupting relief efforts by taking rooms away from those families whose homes were flooded.
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How might a day trip affect the game? First of all, the team’s pregame routine is completely thrown off and second there is always the possibility of a travel related issue. None of which changes the fact that Ben Roethlisberger will need to take the reigns, having only one of three running backs available. Isaac Redman will start with Rashard Mendenhall and Jonathan Dwyer doubtful, likely joining Troy Polamalu in street clothes. If Redman gets dinged up, rookie scat-back Chris Rainey out of Florida will step in. With the saturated Steelers (4-3) backfield looking bleak, the ball is in the hands of Big Ben. Pittsburgh is seventh in the league with over 270 passing yards per game and Roethlisberger has tossed only three interceptions compared to his 14 touchdowns.
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As for Eli Manning and the Giants (6-2), they were sent home from school early by Coach Tom Coughlin to relocate their families. But with the cancellation of the New York Marathon, all eyes will be on the Giants who will do everything they can to capitalize on the energy in the stadium.
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Like the Steelers, New York has a banged up backfield, but, Ahmad Bradshaw is expected to start. Eli Manning is ranked sixth in the league with over 280 yards a game and has tossed for over 2,300 yards.
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New York Giants star receiver  has never played a full sixteen game schedule. He has missed six games over his first few seasons. Following his recent foot injury, there is a chance that his streak will continue before he is able to even take the field.
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Fortunately for Nicks and his fantasy owners, time is on his side. His broken foot came earlier enough that there is a chance that he’ll be ready to play in the opener. There is speculation that the injury could cost him anywhere from 4-6 weeks or 10-12 weeks. Even if he misses the first game or two, it may not matter for fantasy owners.
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Nicks has had at least 1050 yards in each of the past two seasons despite not playing a full schedule. He has also had 18 touchdowns over the  past two seasons.
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Nicks really showed his value during the Giants’ Super Bowl run last year posting three 100-yard games and four touchdowns.
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Nicks is still an WR1 despite the injury concerns. Should he remain a top-five fantasy wideout? Perhaps not, but he is still a high-end fantasy option. While every week matters, the end of the year is when you really need your players. I understand if you don’t want to take the risk on Nicks, but you do need to be aware that while it is a risk there is some serious reward.
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If Nicks slides you may get a value on him. Regardless, he’s a WR that you should still target on draft day.
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Super Bowl XLVI Pick

30 January 2012


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Pro Bowl Result
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Regular Season Lock Picks:  28-6 (.824)
Regular Season Total:  176-80 (.688)
Playoffs Picks:  6-4 (.600)
Pro Bowl Pick:  0-1
Overall Total:  182-85 (.682)

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Super Bowl XLVI Pick: This time I think the Patriots get the Giants. With Gronk, Hernandez, and Welker I think Brady will be able to handle the Giants’ pressure. I am expecting a great game. I’m just think (and am hopeful) that New England comes out on top.
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