2014 NFL Picks – Week 13

26 November 2014


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Here are my Week 13 picks.
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Week 12 Results: 13-2
Week 12 Lock Picks: 1-1
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: SF (W), NO (L), NE (W), SD (W), DET (L), TEN (W), CLE (L), DAL (L), SEA (W), DEN (W), WAS (L), KC (L)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  OAK (W), SD (L), MINN (W), KC (L), WAS (W), DAL (L), SF (W), PITT (L), JAX (W), NYG (L), STL (L), MIA (W)
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Regular Season Total:  114-60-1 (.654)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 13-11 (.542)
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Week 13 Locks
Lock to Win:  St. Louis Rams
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  Tennessee Titans
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Week 13 Picks
DET over CHI
PHI over DAL
SEA over SF
CLE over BUF
INDY over WASH
STL over OAK (Winner Lock)
MINN over CAR
PITT over NO
CIN over TB
NYG over JAX
BAL over SD
HOU over TENN (Loser Lock)
ARI over ATL
NE over GB
DEN over KC
MIA over NYJ
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 | Posted by | Categories: NFL, NFL Picks | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks, NFL Week 13, NFL Week 13 Picks |

2013 NFL Picks – Week 13

27 November 2013


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It was another thrilling week of NFL action. Here are my Week 13 picks.
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Week 12 Results: 7-6-1
Week 12 Lock Picks: 1-1
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: NE (W), BAL (W), SEA (W), IND (W), ATL (L), DEN (W), SD (W), SF (W), DAL (W), TENN (L), ARI (W), CAR (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks: NYJ (L), STL (W), TB (W), CLE (L), DAL (W), TEN (W), ARI (W), BUF (W), CHI (L), ATL (W), MIN (W), SD (L)
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Regular Season Total: 106-69-1 (.605)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 18-6 (.750)
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Week 13 Locks:
Lock to Win: Cleveland Browns
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above): Houston Texans
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Week 13 Picks:
Detroit over Green Bay
Dallas over Oakland
Baltimore over Pittsburgh
Cleveland over Jacksonville (Winner Lock)
Indianapolis over Tennessee
Chicago over Minnesota
New York Jets over Miami
Philadelphia over Arizona
Carolina over Tampa Bay
New England over Houston (Loser Lock)
Atlanta over Buffalo
San Francisco over St. Louis
Denver over Kansas City
Cincinnati over San Diego
New York Giants over Washington
Seattle over New Orleans
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By: Jordan Hall, Stoppage Time Sports@jordan_hall23
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Jordan answers all fantasy questions on Twitter
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Join the Conversation on Twitter #stsfantasy
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If you are still with us, tip of the cap to you. We’ve made it through 13 long weeks and now it’s on to the second season. I hope your team is still in contention, and if not, maybe the next three weeks can help you sort some things out for next year.
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We’re reaching the point in the season where everything is known already. We are no longer going on hunches, but we have 13 weeks of track record to go on. While week 13 offered up it’s surprises, on the whole things were pretty much status quo throughout the NFL. Adrian Peterson was good and Mark Sanchez was… not. Business as usual. Here are some things I noticed from Yesterday’s action.
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Bryce Brown is really good. The kid was more than a handcuff all along. This is two straight weeks of dominating performances. He has turned in virtually the same stat line two weeks in a row with 178 rushing yards last week and another 169 this week with two touchdowns in both.
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There is no way they can hand job back over to McCoy as we knew it before; Brown is running better than McCoy did at did at any point this season. When McCoy gets back, I imagine that we will see a virtual dead even time-share. Whether Andy Reid comes out and says it or not, I cannot foresee a scenario where either guy doesn’t get 10-15 touches per game.
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For fantasy purposes, I think we should approach this going forward and for next year similarly as we approach the Bills running game. Both backs can do a lot of damage with limited touches, but it’s going to be hard to trust either week in and week out. Hopefully one of these guys will be dealt to Arizona.
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Speaking of the Cardinals: wow. That game was an assault on the eyes. I don’t have any real fantasy advice from that game for you other than every single player on both of these teams, is wretched. Larry Fitzgerald is borderline droppable and Shonn Greene does the least with the most carries I have ever seen.
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Cecil Shorts is a bonafide fantasy stud. He just does it week in and week out. He had another big game on Sunday with 7 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. He seems to have found a nice connection with Chad Henne, who is at least a competent NFL level quarterback. I like Shorts a lot going forward. He is a borderline must start.
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Donnie Avery had a flash in the pan two-touchdown game. Avery has been one of the biggest question marks in the league to this point. The guy is 18 th in the NFL in targets but he never puts fantasy points on the board having scored in double digits only three times this season in standard scoring leagues. Honestly, as disappointing as he has been this year, if he finishes strong down the stretch, I can see him being a sneaky under the radar sleeper going into next year. The tools are there for him to be a top 25 guy; he’s just missing the consistency.
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Aaron Hernandez finally had the bounce back game we have all been waiting for. He had 8 catches for 97 yards on 13 targets. He is the second best tight end option for the rest of the season.
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The Bills are exasperating. I have no idea what to think about them. Chan Gailey said coming into the game that it would be 65/35 in favor of Spiller but despite Spiller killing Jackson in yards per carry, Jackson gets 25 carries to Spiller’s 14. Both end up with nice fantasy days but the uncertainty surrounding the whole situation makes me uneasy.
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I still think that Spiller is a strong RB2 option. If he continues to get 14 or more carries he going to give you days like this regularly; I just think that his upside is capped severely with Jackson on the field as much as he was.
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With all that has gone on in Kansas City, I was happy to see them get a win on Sunday. Rarely am I even remotely caring about a game like this, but tip of the cap to the Chiefs for battling through it and getting a W. My thought and prayers are with the whole situation.
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On the football side of things, I think there is one assertion we can make. When Jamaal Charles gets enough touches the Chiefs have a chance to win. When he doesn’t, they don’t. 31 touches in this one for Charles, including 27 carries for 127 yards. Slowly but surely, Romeo Crennell has come crawling back to the running game. I think the best is yet to come for Charles as the Chiefs are starting to figure it out. By the way, Brady Quinn will obviously never, ever, be in your fantasy lineup but he didn’t look awful in this one. Just an observation.
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Vincent Jackson has long been a frustrating player but he finally has turned his ways around this season. Or has he? In 4 of his last 6 games VJ has been held to single digit fantasy points in standard scoring leagues. He got off to a red-hot start but has cooled off more than anyone has noticed. It’s too late to sell high on him, but he seriously worries me going forward. The same goes for Josh Freeman. He has been held below 20 points in 4 of his last five games.
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The Giants and Redskins are the Monday night game. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again now, Hakeem Nicks is going to be the top scoring fantasy receiver this week. The stars are aligning for a statement re-emergence game. The targets are there (13 last week,) the matchup is there (Redskins give up the second most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers in the NFL,) and the bright lights of Monday night are there. Eli has started to get on a roll and Nicks has been at the forefront of that. The current leader in standard league points among wide-outs is Calvin Johnson with 23. Nicks should have no problem besting that. Nicks with a 33 point game, you heard it here first.
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Hope Monday night is kind to you all. See you in the playoffs.
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 | Posted by | Categories: Fantasy Football, NFL | Tagged: Fantasy Football, NFL, NFL Week 13 |

2012 NFL Picks – Week 13

27 November 2012


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It was a thrilling 12th week of NFL action. Here are my Week 13 NFL picks.
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Week 12 Results: 11-5
Week 11 Lock Picks: 1-1
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: DET (W), NE (L), DAL (W), BAL (W), NYG (W), ATL (W), NO (W), GB (W), CHI (W), INDY (W), HOU (W), DEN (W)
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Previous Lock to Lose Picks: CLE (W), TB (W), KC (L), NYJ (W), BUF (W), DAL, (W), STL (W), ARI (W), CIN (W), CAR (W), DET (W), MIA (L)
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Regular Season Total: 117-58-1 (.668)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 21-3 (.875)
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Week 13 Locks:
Lock to Win:  San Francisco 49ers
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  Minnesota Vikings
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Week 13 Picks:
Atlanta Falcons over New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills over Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears over Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions over Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (Loser Lock)
Houston Texans over Tennessee Titans
Carolina Panthers over Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers over St. Louis Rams (Winner Lock)
New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins
New York Jets over Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland Browns over Oakland Raiders
San Diego Chargers over Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens over Pittsburgh Steelers
Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Redskins over New York Giants
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These are heads-up picks. We’re doing a picks with the spread contest on Yahoo!. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment section with your e-mail or send one to me at ryan@lesterslegends.com.

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 | Posted by | Categories: NFL, NFL Picks | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks, NFL Week 13, NFL Week 13 Picks |

2011 NFL Picks – Week 13

30 November 2011


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It was a thrilling 12th week of NFL action. Here are my Week 13 picks.
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Week 12 Results:  13-3
Week 12 Lock Picks:  2-0
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Previous Lock to Win Picks: NE (W), PIT (W), SD (W), GB (W), NYG (L), NYJ (W), DAL (W), SF (W), ATL (W), BAL (L), CHI (W), CIN (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks: MIN (W), CAR (W), INDY (W), SEA (W), NYJ (W), STL (W), JAX (L), MIA (W) CLE (W), OAK (L), KC (W), PHI (W)
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Regular Season Total: 122-54 (.693)
Regular Season Lock Picks: 20-4 (.833)
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Week 13 Locks:
Lock to Win:  Denver Broncos
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  New York Giants
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Week 13 Picks:
Seattle over Philadelphia
Tennessee over Buffalo
Chicago over Kansas City
Oakland over Miami
Denver over Minnesota  (Winner Lock)
New England over Indianapolis
Pittsburgh over Cincinnati
Carolina over Tampa Bay
New York Jets over Washington
Atlanta over Houston
Baltimore over Cleveland
Green Bay over New York Giants  (Loser Lock)
Dallas over Arizona
San Francisco over St. Louis
New Orleans over Detroit
San Diego over Jacksonville

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These are heads-up picks. We’re doing picks with the spread on Yahoo. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment section with your e-mail or send one to me at ryan@lesterslegends.com.
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There were some unusual heroes on Sunday. There always are. Let’s take a look at them and see if they are worthy of your fantasy rosters.
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Donald Brown, RB, Indianapolis Colts:  As I said in my Week 12 Sleepers suggestions Brown has been one of the few bright spots on the Colts this year. He had 80 yards rushing, a rushing TD, and 17 yards receiving. He’s been averaging over 8 fantasy points per game in his past six.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Roy Helu, RB, Washington Redskins:  Perhaps Shanahan will finally realize that Helu is his best back. He ran for 108 yards and a touchdown while adding seven catches for 54 yards. As long as he can win Shanahan over he should be a solid add.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Peyton Hillis, RB, Cleveland Browns:  If Hillis was dropped in your league you may want to pick him up. He ran for 65 yards and caught two passes, though he lost four yards on them. He has some tough games ahead but should see plenty of carries if he can stay healthy.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Maurice Morris, RB, Detroit Lions:  Kevin Smith’s injured ankle could force him to miss this week’s game. Morris had 39 yards running and 81 receiving. If he was dropped in your league and you are in need of a RB, Morris is worth a look.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Marcel Reece, RB, Oakland Raiders:  Reece caught five passes (seven targets) for 92 yards. He could be more active with all of Oakland’s injuries, but isn’t a reliable fantasy option.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.
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Jason Avant, WR, Philadelphia Eagles:  Avant caught eight passes (14 targets) for 110 yards and a TD. Maclin didn’t play, the Eagles were playing from behind, and the Patriots have a horrible pass defense. The odds won’t likely be stacked in Avant’s favor like that again.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.
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Harry Douglas, WR, Atlanta Falcons:  He only had 45 yards but he scored. Julio Jones played but wasn’t targeted. Douglas remains the fourth or fifth option after Turner, Roddy, Gonzo, and sometime Julio but Atlanta’s offense is potent enough that he can be useful.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Johnny Knox, WR, Chicago Bears:  Knox caught four passes (ten targets) for 145 yards and a touchdown. He’s scored in back-to-back weeks, but is a risk with Caleb Hanie under center.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.
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Damian Williams, WR, Tennessee Titans:  Williams caught three passes (four targets) for 33 yards and a TD. He was a bust last week, but has been solid four of the past five games. He’s a decent depth option, though if Locker gets a shot he seemed to favor Nate Washington.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Dustin Keller, TE, New York Jets:  Keller caught four passes (eight targets) for 61 yards and two scores. He’s been a decent option this year and is a low-end TE1 going forward.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.
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Want to win a Lester’s Legends t-shirt? Click here to enter the free contest page!
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Last Week’s Results:  10-6  (GB, JAX, TEN, PHI,DEN,  INDY) let him down)
Season Results:  108-68 (.614)
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My six-year old son wants to see how he does over the course of the season picking the NFL winners. Here are his Week 13 picks. Click here to see my picks.
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Philadelphia over Houston
New Orleans over Cincinnati
Chicago over Detroit
Green Bay over San Francisco
Tennessee over Jacksonville
Denver over Kansas City
Miami over Cleveland
Minnesota over Buffalo
New York Giants over Washington
San Diego over Oakland
Indianapolis over Dallas
Arizona over St. Louis
Carolina over Seattle
Atlanta over Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
New England over New York Jets

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL, NFL Picks | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks, NFL Week 13, NFL Week 13 Picks |

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