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Last Week’s Results:  7-9  (Just about everybody let him down)
Season Results:  135-89 (.603)
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My six-year old son wants to see how he does over the course of the season picking the NFL winners. Here are his Week 16 picks. Click here to see my picks.
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Pittsburgh over Carolina
Dallas over Arizona
New England over Buffalo
New York Jets over Chicago
Baltimore over Cleveland
Tennessee over Kansas City
San Francisco over St. Louis
Miami over Detroit
Jacksonville over Washington
San Diego over Cincinnati
Houston over Denver
Indianapolis over Oakland
Green Bay over New York Giants
Tampa Bay over Seattle
Philadelphia over Minnesota
Atlanta over New Orleans

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL, NFL Picks | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks, NFL Week 16, NFL Week 16 Picks |

2010 NFL Picks – Week 16

22 December 2010

Click here to enter this week’s contest to win a cool fantasy football t-shirt.
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Week 15 Results:  12-4 (HOU, MIA, TB, NO let me down)
Week 15 Lock Picks
:  2-0

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Previous Lock to Win Picks:  SF (L), GB (W),  NE (W), NO (W), ATL (W), PIT (W), BAL (W), KC (W), MIN (W), NYG (L), TEN (L), NYJ (W), SD (L), TB (W), OAK (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  DET (W), ARI (W), CLE (W), JAX (L), CAR (W), STL (L), CIN (W), HOU (W), DAL (W), CIN (W), SEA (W), BUF (W), DEN (W), MIA (L), GB (W)

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Regular Season Lock Picks:  23-7 (.767)
Regular Season Total:  142-82 (.634)

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Week 16 Locks:
Lock to Win:  Dallas Cowboys
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  Minnesota
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Week 16 Picks:
Pittsburgh over Carolina
Dallas over Arizona  Winner Lock
New England over Buffalo
New York Jets over Chicago
Baltimore over Cleveland
Tennessee over Kansas City
St. Louis over San Francisco
Miami over Detroit
Jacksonville over Washington
San Diego over Cincinnati
Houston over Denver
Indianapolis over Oakland
New York Giants over Green Bay
Tampa Bay over Seattle
Philadelphia over Minnesota Loser Lock
New Orleans over Atlanta
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These are heads-up picks. We’re doing picks with the spread on Yahoo. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment section with your e-mail or send one to me at contact@lesterslegends.com.

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Also check out:

 | Posted by | Categories: NFL, NFL Picks | Tagged: NFL, NFL Picks, NFL Week 16, NFL Week 16 Picks |

NFL Week 17 Fantasy Fill-ins

30 December 2009

Before we get started, check out my Week 17 NFL picks.


Putting the final piece of your fantasy football puzzle together

We’ve already looked at the players who could struggle this week (click here for article). Now I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in if you are dealing with an injury or tough match-ups.

Kyle Orton, QB, Denver Broncos
If you are in a league that plays the season out, Orton is a decent option for Week 17. He takes on Kansas City, who’s in the bottom half with 22 passing TDs allowed. Brandon Marshall was quiet last week against the Eagles, for look for him to break out as the Broncos vie for a playoff spot.

Vince Young, QB, Tennessee Titans
The Titans playoff hopes were dashed by the Chargers last week, but VY is still playing for next year. Luckily for him, he gets to close out with Seattle who has one of the league’s worst passing defenses giving up 262.7 passing yards per game and 26 passing TDs.

Alex Smith, QB, San Francisco 49ers
Smith is another resurection project that should finish the season on a high note. He takes on the lowly Rams, who have allowed 246.1 passing yards per game and 21 TDs.

Jay Cutler, QB, Chicago Bears
Cutler will try to salvage a forgettable 2009 season with a big game against the Lions, who are 31st with 274.9 passing yards allowed, and dead last with 31 passing TDs given up.

continue reading »

NFL Week 16 Fantasy Fill-ins

23 December 2009

Before we get started, check out my Week 16 NFL picks.


Putting the final piece of your fantasy football puzzle together

We’ve already looked at the players who could struggle this week (click here for article). Now I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in if you are dealing with an injury or tough match-ups.

Alex Smith, QB, San Francisco 49ers
Alex Smith has a chance at fantasy immortality as he takes on Detroit’s league-worst pass defense. They have allowed 268.6 yards per game and 23 passing TDs. Smith 10 TDs in his last five games.

Jerome Harrison, RB, Cleveland Browns
If Harrison’s record-setting performance didn’t ensure him of a heavy workload this week, I will openly question Mangini’s sanity. I don’t see him coming anywhere near what he did last week, but he should be able to produce against the league’s 28th ranked run defense that’s allowing 148.9 yards per game along with a league-worse 20 rushing TDs.

Jason Snelling, RB, Atlanta Falcons
I don’t want to hear about Michael Turner for the rest of the year. Twice they rushed him back. If they just let his ankle heal, he’d be exploiting the Bills’ league-worst run defense. They have allowed 165.6 yards per game and 18 TDs. Snelling should be a force in the fantasy football championship.

Beanie Wells, RB, Arizona Cardinals
Beanie is really beginning to his his stride with 189 yards (226 total) and 2 TDs in his last two games. He faces a terrible Rams run defense that is 27th in the league with 140.4 yards allowed. They have also given up 19 rushing scores.

Terrell Owens, WR, Buffalo Bills
T.O. has struggled for the better part of this season, but Atlanta’s porous secondary brings some relief. They rank 30th with 265.9 yards allowed, and have given up 24 passing TDs.

continue reading »

Before we get started, check out my Week 16 NFL picks.

I’m going to look at the matchups each week and pick some fantasy starters that could be in for a tough week. Here’s a look at players who could struggle this week.

Brett Favre, QB, Minnesota Vikings
Tony Romo is breathing a little easier now that he got the December monkey off his back. Meanwhile, Favre’s got a little heavier with the loss to the Panthers. Despite the Saints’ loss, they are off in the distance for home field advantage. Meanwhile the Eagles are charging hard. Brad Childress is starting to panic a bit, as Favre admits he was almost pulled last week. All of this does not make me comfortable when choosing a starting QB for the fantasy football championship game.

For you numbers hounds (like myself), Favre is averaging 199.8 yards in his last 11 December games with 11 TDs to 17 INTS. When it’s been below 40 degrees he averages 197.6 yards with 5 TDs and 9 INTs. The game is at Chicago this week.

Matt Forte, RB, Chicago Bears
On the flip side for the Vikings, their run defense allowed their first 100 yard rusher since 2007 when Jonathan Stewart torched them on Sunday Night Football. Their defense responded in a big way after the Cardinals loss, shutting down Cincinnati. The Bears offense is so dysfunctional. I see a long day for Forte, who had just 61 total yards when he faced the Vikings in Week 12.

Jamaal Charles, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
Charles has looked like Chris Johnson Lite the past six weeks. This week he’ll face a stiffer test when he takes on the emotional Cincinnati Bengals, who did a nice job limiting LT last week. The Bengals rank third in the league with 85.2 rushing yards allowed per game, and have allowed just 8 rushing TDs.

Reggie Wayne, WR, Indianapolis Colts
I was premature calling for the Colts to rest up some of their players. We’re a week closer to the season wrapping up, and the likelihood improves. Even if Wayne plays the whole game, he’ll have to face Darrelle Revis. Peyton is more than comfortable going to Dallas Clark, Austin Collie, and Pierre Garcon if Wayne can’t get any separation.

Derrick Mason, WR, Baltimore Ravens
Mason had seven catches for 62 yards and a score the last time he faced Pittsburgh (Week 12). The Steelers managed to escape their slugfest against Green Bay with a victory to keep their playoffs hopes alive. This time they tangle in Pittsburgh. I’m expecting a knock em down, drag em out affair where the weather could play a key role.

Other guys I don’t love this week:
QB: Jay Cutler, Kyle Orton, Joe Flacco
RB: LT, Marion Barber III, Maurice Morris, Knowshon Moreno, LeSean McCoy
WR: DeSean Jackson, Calvin Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, T.J. Housmandzadeh, Jerricho Cotchery
TE: Todd Heap, John Carlson, Kevin Boss

NFL Picks – Week 16

22 December 2009

Week 15 Results:  9-6   (NO, NYJ, KC, DEN, GB, SEA, MN let me down)
Lock Picks:  2-0

Previous Lock to Win Picks:  NO (W), WAS (W), BAL (W), INDY (W), PHI (W), PITT (W), NE (W), SD (W), ATL (W), MINN (W), ARI (W), DAL (W), CIN (W), TENN (W), HOU (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  OAK (W), CIN (L), STL (W), KC (W), DET (W), TB (W), WAS (W), CAR (L), HOU (W), CLE (W), BUF (W), CHI (W), ARI (L), DAL (W), SF (W)

Regular Season Lock Picks:  27-3 (.900)
Regular Season Total:  156-68 (.696)

Week 16 NFL Picks:

Lock to Win:  Green Bay Packers
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as Winner Lock):  Jacksonville Jaguars

San Diego Chargers over Tennessee Titans
Atlanta Falcons over Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders over Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Winner Lock)
Miami Dolphins over Houston Texans
New England Patriots over Jacksonville Jaguars (Loser Lock)
New Orleans Saints over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants over Carolina Panthers
Pittsburgh Steelers over Baltimore Ravens
Arizona Cardinals over St. Louis Rams
San Francisco 49ers over Detroit Lions
Indianapolis Colts over New York Jets
Philadelphia Eagles over Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys over Washington Redskins
Minnesota Vikings over Chicago Bears


These are heads-up picks. We’re doing picks with the spread on Yahoo. If you want to get in on the action, leave me a message in the comment with your e-mail or send one to me at contact@lesterslegends.com.

Fantasy Football Forum

23 December 2008


Fantasy Football Forum

How did Week 16 go for you?  Did you win the Championship?  Third Place Game?  Toilet Bowl? 

I’m in six leagues so I’ll recap each one.

KFFL Analysis League (PPR League) - I missed the playoffs in this league.  First time in a PPR league.  I’m not a fan of them, but if I am ever in another one, I’ll have a better feel for it.
Record:  6-7

Cage Match League (The Legend vs. Awesome) - As this is a head-to-head league, this game is our Super Bowl.  It just worked out that we were both 7-7 heading into a winner take all two-week showdown.  I took the lead in the first week.  In the second week I got strong play from Drew Brees, Westbrook, Fitz, and Gates.  Awesome got nice balance from Romo, Turner, Pierre Thomas, Randy Moss, Welker, and Gonzo.  Minnesota D stunk it up.  Andre Johnson did for me, but I did enough to earn the W and the league championship.
Record:  7-7

LEV League - This was a Losers’ Bracket 7th place game for me.  Reggie Wayne got me off to a great start, but my opponent got an even better jump from Peyton Manning.  T.O. was solid for me on Saturday.  Philip Rivers and Stephen Gostkowski were awesome for me.  Housh and Ronnie Brown let me down.  LEV got strong play from Colston and Owen Daniels.  Roddy White, Hightower, MB3, and Tampa D did him in.  I won this one.
Record:  7-7

Fantasy Sports Depot League -  I didn’t make the playoffs and there was no Losers’ Bracket.
Record:  6-8

My Keeper League - Third Place game.  Peyton Manning got me off to a great start.  Jason Witten did the same for my opponent.  Fitz, Owen Daniels, Thomas Jones, Lynch, and NO D were solid for me.  Housh and Deion Branch were awful for me.  Kevin Smith was the only other solid scorer for my opponent.  Dan Orlovsky (Kurt Warner was his regular starter), Santana Moss, and Berrian sucked for him.  I took the Third Place game.
Record:  6-8

No Kicker League -  Third Place game.  Reggie Wayne got me off to a great start.  Baltimore D didn’t come through for my opponent.  Kurt Warner sucked real bad.  So did Dwayne Bowe, Cooley, and Jets D.  Fitz, Slaton, Benson, and Westbrook were solid, but they weren’t enough.  My opponent had Vincent Jackson, Michael Turner, Sammy Morris, and Clinton Portis.
Record:  11-3

Regular Season Record:  43-40
Playoff Record:  3-4
Titles:  1

That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

There were some unusual heroes on Sunday.  There always are.  Let’s take a look at them and see if they are worthy of your fantasy rosters.

QB
JaMarcus Russell
- Russell had a solid game completing 18 of 25 passes for 236 yards and a pair of TDs against Houston.  He finished up on the road against Tampa Bay.  They have been struggling of late, but I imagine Gruden will get the Bucs up to stick it to Al Davis.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Tarvaris Jackson - Jackson had a solid game against Atlanta.  He threw for 233 yards and 2 TDs and added 76 on the ground.  I’m impressed that he performed at that level since I put little stock in his previous six quarters of excellence against Detroit and Arizona.  That said, I wouldn’t trust him next week against the Giants.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

RBs
Cedric Benson
- I hope you took my advice and rolled with Benson last week.  You had to be pleased with the 171 yards he racked up.  He should be solid again this week against Kansas City. 
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

Maurice Morris - Morris ran for 116 yards against the Jets.  He finishes up against Arizona, whose D has been soft lately.  He should finish the season on a high note.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

LaMont Jordan - Jordan followed his 97 yard, 1 TD performance against Oakland with a 78 yard, 2 TD performace against Arizona.  He finishes up on the road against Buffalo.  Buffalo should keep the game closer, and I just don’t trust him to do it a third straight time.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

WRs
Dennis Northcutt
- Northcutt had his second consecutive 100+ yard, TD game against Indianapolis last week.  I love the way he’s finishing the season, but I can’t recommend using him in Week 17 (if your league isn’t wrapped up) against Baltimore.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

Devard Darling - Darling had 3 catches for 69 yards and a score against Miami.  He has a favorable matchup against Cincinnati next week, but his three receptions last week were a season high.  I can’t endorse gambling on him in a Championship game.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Anthony Fasano
- Fasano caught a pair of TD passes for the Dolphins last week against Kansas City.  He has three TDs in his past three games.  Next up is a important matchup against the Jets.  He has something on the line next week so motivation should not be a problem.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

NFL Week 16 Fantasy Fill-ins

19 December 2008


Putting the final piece of your fantasy football puzzle together

I’ve uncovered some guys you can plug in to your lineup if you are dealing with an injury or tough matchups.   Check back following the games to see the stat line of guys profiled.

QB
Brett Favre
- Brett hasn’t been great of late, but I do love his matchup this week against Seattle.  I can see the Drama King put together a strong performance in his last matchup against former Coach Mike Holmgren. 
Stat Line:  18 of 31 for 187 yards, 2 INTs

RB
Kevin Smith
- I’ll continue to sing the Rookies praises and ride him for another week.  He faces New Orleans this week.  Smith could quietly be putting together one of the best fantasy playoffs runs among RBs.
Stat Line:  24 carries for 111 yards, TD

Jamal Lewis – Lewis is part of Cleveland’s disappointing Offense.  Though the passing game takes the most heat, the running game hasn’t delivered either.  That could change this week as Jamal takes on Cincinnati.
Stat Line:  16 carries for 76 yards

WR
Kevin Walter - After catching just 2 passes for 8 yards against Tennessee, I expect Walter to bounce back in a big way against Oakland.
Stat Line:  2 catches for 17 yards, 1 rush for 13 yards

Isaac Bruce - Bruce has a nice matchup against his former teammates in St. Louis.  He should be a solid #3 WR this week.
Stat Line:  7 catches for 61 yards, TD

TE
Jerramy Stevens - Stevens is the latest TE I am picking to exploit San Diego’s inability to cover the Tight End.
Stat Line:  2 catches for 21 yards

K
Joe Nedney
- St. Louis is 31st in the league with 133 Kicker points allowed.  They are 25th with 29 FGs allowed.  I expect multiple FGs for Nedney this week.
Stat Line:  FG, 2 PATs

DEF
Houston
- Houston has won four straight games by allowing 21 or fewer in each of those games.  Last week they held the Tennesse ground game in check.  Things get much easier for them this week as they go up against Oakland.
Stat Line:  1 Fumble, 1 Sack

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Ben Roethlisberger
(18.4) beat Seneca Wallace (11.6) WHICH I LOST. 
Dominic Rhodes (23.6) beat Willie Parker (5.6) WHICH I WON.
Steven Jackson (18.7) beat Steve Slaton (11.5) WHICH I WON.
Randy Moss (18.7) beat Wes Welker (12.9) WHICH I LOST. 
Calin Johnson (17.0) beat Reggie Wayne (10.4) WHICH I LOST. 
   
Super Stetch:  Deion Branch (7.6) beat Derrick Mason (2.3) WHICH I WON.

Regular Picks:  2-3 
Super Stretch Picks: 1-0   
Overall:  3-3

Season Record
Regular Picks:  46-29 (.613)
Super Stretch Picks:  7-7 (.500)
Overall:  53-36 (.595)

Quarterback
  kurt-warner
Brett Favre
over Kurt Warner
Favre has questioned his arm strength this week.  Wouldn’t it be like him to put on a display this week against Seattle.  Warner faces New England on the road in what could be sloppy conditions.  I’ll take the more tenured Hall of Famer in this oldies matchup.
  
Running Backs
pierre-thomas 
Pierre Thomas over Michael Turner
Pierre should run all over Detroit.  Even without Pat Williams, Turner should find it difficult to run on Minnesota.

 
Marshawn Lynch
over LaDainian Tomlinson
Neither have lived up to their billing this year, but Lynch will be more of a fantasy championship hero than LT.  He has a sweet matchup against Denver.  LT has to face Tampa, who has given up nice games to the Carolina backs and Turner in the past couple weeks, butare still a far better unit than Denver.

Wide Receiver
  andre-johnson
Wes Welker over Andre Johnson 
I’ll try my luck with Welker again.  He should be able to produce vs. Arizona.  If the weather is bad, they may lean heavily on him.  Andre Johnson is coming off a huge effort, but has to face Nnamdi Asomugha.
 
anthony-gonzalez-profile  
Anthony Gonzalez over Terrell Owens
With Marvin Harrison out, Gonzalez should play a bigger role as Indy takes on Jacksonville.  The Whiner goes up against Baltimore.

SUPER STRETCH 
shaun-hill    
Shaun Hill over Tony Romo
Shaun Hill has a nice matchup this week against St. Louis.  He should put up solid numbers.  Romo has to face an angry Baltimore squad.  I don’t envy him this week.


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