LestersLegends.com » Rookie WRs


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Now that the NFL Draft is behind us it is time for fantasy football nuts to start breaking down the rookies. Here’s the LestersLegends’ look at the 2012 NFL rookie wide receiver class.
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1.  Michael Floyd, Arizona Cardinals
While it is debatable whether Floyd or Justin Blackmon is more talented, Floyd easily finds himself in a better position. Not only does Blackmon have to Blaine Gabbert throwing to him, he doesn’t have much help outside of MJD. Meanwhile, Floyd gets to learn from Larry Fitzgerald.
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2.  Justin Blackmon, Jacksonville Jaguars
There was basically one landing place for Blackmon that would prevent him from being the top choice here. Unfortunately for Blackmon, that place is Jacksonville. Poor QB play and no WRs to take pressure off of him. Still, he should have solid games. Consistency will be an issue.
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3.  Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans
Wright lands in a pretty solid spot. He should get decent QB play whether it’s from Hasselbeck or Locker and teams won’t be able to key in on him thanks to Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt.
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4.  Mohamed Sanu, Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have been pretty spot on with their draft picks of late and Sanu has a chance to step in and play opposite of A.J. Green in an up and coming offense.
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5. Alshon Jeffery, Chicago Bears
He should earn a starting gig with a solid WR to play opposite of in Brandon Marshall and a solid QB in Jay Cutler. It could take him some time to get acclimated to the NFL, but he should be a nice option as the season rolls on.
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Jeremy Maclin is a talented Rookie WR from Missouri.  It may take an injury for him to make a major impact outside of the return game.  Still, he’s in a high-powered offense with a talented QB and should make some noise at some point in the year.  I think he’ll start off slow, but as he grasps the offense, he will take off.
Prediction:  45 catches for 600 yards and 4 TDs
Michael Crabtree is not endearing himself with NFL fans or fantasy owners.  I think he’s the most delusional person since our last President.  If he believes he can sit out a year and improve his draft status without working out for teams, that’s a whole new version of fantasy football.  I think he’ll eventually cave because you just can’t make the money back you’ll lose.  He’ll start slow, and possibly endure and injury (hamstring most likely).  Eventually he’ll make an impact though.
Prediction:  40 catches for 550 yards, 6 TDs
Brian Robiskie will start out slow because he’s falling behind Mohamed Massaquoi and Josh Cribbs on the depth chart.  I think he’s too talented to stay down long though, and should work his way into the rotation around the middle of the year.  He’ll have some solid games, but be very inconsistent.
Prediction:  36 catches for 450 yards, 4 TDs

Percy Harvin is going to see action all over the place.  In the slot, out wide, as a Running Back, a return man, and a Wildcat QB.  The Vikings will have to go against their standard and get creative to get the ball in his hands.  Once it’s there, look out.  He can score from anywhere on the football field.  He’ll be more exciting to watch than a valuable fantasy player to rely on, but that will come in time.
Prediction:  50 catches for 600 yards, 200 rushing yards, 7 total TDs

Hakeem Nicks was supposed to make one of the biggest splashes from the rookie WRs, but is not having a good preseason.  The Giants have plenty of options at WR (Domenik Hixon, Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, and Sinorice Moss) so if he doesn’t start turning heads, don’t look for much of an impact in 2009.
Prediction:  25 catches for 300 yards, 2 TDs

I continue my NFL Draft review with a look at the WRs drafted in the first three rounds.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oakland Raiders – I feel bad for DHB.  When people are criticizing Al Davis and the Raiders’ #7 selection of the speedy wideout, they are putting a damper on what should be an exciting time in his life.  Yeah, he’ll have plenty of rea$on$ not to care, but it still has to sting a little.  So congrats Darrius.  Now on to the breakdown.  He’s a speedster that will need to work on his hands.  I believe the Third-year WR rule will be in effect here.  It’s going to take some time for him to develop into a big time WR.  I don’t see a big contribution this year.

Pat White, Miami Dolphins - Pat will be used in the slot, and at Quarterback when the Dolpins run the Wildcat.  While he will be a valuable player for the Dolphins, I don’t see him holding much fantasy value.

Derrick Williams, Detroit Lions - I don’t know why the Lions didn’t focus on their Defense a little more.  Williams has a chance to be decent because Calvin Williams draws so much attention.  His ceiling is fellow Nittany Lion Bobby Engram.

Brandon Tate, New England Patriots - Tate will mainly serve as a Special Teams player, perhaps making an impact with his returns.  He could possibly make his way on the field more in a couple years.

Mike Wallace, Pittsburgh Steelers - Wallace could serve as a vertical threat replacing Nate Washington, who went to Tennessee.  Perhaps down the road he can earn some fantasy relevance, but that will be in a couple years at best.

Rames Barden, New York Giants - Barden will take longer than Nicks to develop.  The potential is there.  I just don’t see it any time soon.

Patrick Turner, Miami Dolphins - With WR being an area of need, I’m not surprised Miami took wides in both the second and third round.  With Turner, the Dolphins get a big WR (6’5″, 220 Lbs) to give them a big target in the red zone.  Ten of his 49 receptions went for TDs in his Senior year with USC.

Deon Butler, Seattle Seahawks - Butler has explosive speed (4.38).  He’s undersized and best suited for the slot position. 

Juaquin Iglesias, Chicago Bears - The Bears desperately need help at WR and while he’s not a fast WR (4.56), he is an accomplished one.  He caught 74 passes for 1150 yards and ten TDs last year for the Sooners.  Has good hands and could work his way onto the field sooner than some of the earlier selections.

Michael Crabtree, San Francisco 49ers - I love the pick for the 49ers, but I wish Crabtree was paired with a better QB.  Nate Davis could eventually make his way up the depth charts.  Until then Crabtree will just have to make due.  I think he’ll still be one of the best Rookie WRs this year.

Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia Eagles – I love this pick by the Eagles and I love Maclin’s prospects this year.  In fact, I think Maclin will be the most productive Rookie WR.  He gives McNabb another young, talented target.  With Maclin, DeSean Jackson, Westbrook, and McCoy, McNabb has more weapons than in recent years.  I expect big things from the Birds in 2009.

Percy Harvin, Minnesota Vikings – He has a ton of talent.  He’ll make a big impact and change the dynamic of the Viking Offense.  I’m just afraid he’ll miss a couple games to injury.  When he’s healthy he’ll make explosive plays. 

Hakeem Nicks, New York Giants - Nicks will make an impact right away for the G-Men, just not a major one.  The Giants have a lot of young talent at WR so he’ll have to earn his way onto the field.  He may be fantasy worthy next year.

Kenny Britt, Tennessee Titans - Britt will get a chance to play as the Titans are hurting for WRs, but I’m not sure how much impact a Rookie WR on a run first team will make.  I love him long-term though.

Brian Robiskie & Mohamed Massaquoi, Cleveland Browns - The Browns need WRs in the worst way.  They did not trade Braylon Edwards as rumored, but they clearly aren’t happy with him.  Donte Stallworth could be going to jail, and in the very least will be suspended by the league.  To me Robiskie makes more of an immediate impact and could earn the #2 WR role.  Massaquoi will take a little longer to develop.

We wrap up my NFL Draft Wide Receiver preview with a look at the quartet of Darrius Heyward-Bey, Kenny Britt, Hakeem Nicks, and Brian Robiskie.

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Darrius Heyward-Bey
is the speedster of the draft running an electric 4.30 forty at the combine.  Plus, he has good size at 6’2″, 210 LBs.  Darrius is pretty raw having caught just 138 passes for 2089 yards and 13 TDs in his three years at Maryland.  He had just four 100+ yard games in his career.  He’s can help stretch the field and add some punch to the return game.

Here’s a look at where some of the experts have him pegged:
Scott Wright’s Draft Countdown:  #26 to the Baltimore Ravens
WalterFootball.com:  #40 to the Oakland Raiders
Consensus Draft Services:  #19 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Football Expert:  #26 to the Baltimore Ravens
War Room Report:  #17 to the New York Jets

NFL Draft Scout:  #3 ranked WR

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Kenny Britt
has had put together two straight solid years for Rutgers.  In 2007 he caught 62 passes for 1232 yards and 8 TDs.  Last year he had 87 receptions for 1371 yards and 7 scores.  He has good size at 6’4″, 215 Lbs, but his 4.50 forty time doesn’t turn heads.  One of the knocks on him is his lack of focus. 

Here’s a look at where some of the experts have him pegged:
Scott Wright’s Draft Countdown:  #39 to the Jacksonville Jaguars
WalterFootball.com:  #28 to the Philadelphia Eagles
Consensus Draft Services:  #43 to the San Francisco 49ers
The Football Expert:  #35 to the St. Louis Rams
War Room Report:  #29 to the New York Giants

NFL Draft Scout:  #7 ranked WR
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Hakeem Nicks
had a stellar year for North Carolina catching 68 passes for 1222 yards and 12 TDs.  He also gained fame with his behind-the-back grab.  Nicks isn’t overly impressive with his size (6’1″, 215 Lbs) or his speed (4.51).  He does have great hands though and isn’t afraid to go across the middle.  He has a questionable work ethic.

Here’s a look at where some of the experts have him pegged:
Scott Wright’s Draft Countdown:  #44 to the Miami Dolphins
WalterFootball.com:  #45 to the New York Giants
Consensus Draft Services:  #39 to the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Football Expert:  #45 to the New York Giants
War Room Report:  #26 to the Baltimore Ravens

NFL Draft Scout:  #5 ranked WR

brian-robiskie-osu
Finally, there’s Brian Robiskie.  Robiskie turned in a modest Senior year with 42 catches for 535 yards and 8 TDs, which is a step back from his solid 55 catch, 935 yard, 11 TD Junior season.  He reached the 100 mark just one time this year, in the Fiesta Bowl loss to Texas.  He’s good good size at 6’3″, 199 Lbs.  He showed OK speed with a 4.46 forty.  Though he didn’t put up gaudy numbers at the collegiate level, he is one of the more polished WRs in the draft.

Here’s a look at where some of the experts have him pegged:
Scott Wright’s Draft Countdown:  #35 to the St. Louis Rams
WalterFootball.com:  #44 to the Miami Dolphins

Consensus Draft Services:  #49 to the Chicago Bears
The Football Expert:  #49 to the Chicago Bears
War Room Report:  #51 to the Dallas Cowboys
NFL Draft Scout:  #6 ranked WR

Images courtesy of Icon SMI

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Image courtesy of Icon SMI

Michael Crabtree put together one of the finest two-year stretches in NCAA history.  As a Freshman at Texas Tech he caught an amazing 134 passes for 1962 yards and 22 TDs.  Last year he grabbed 97 passes for 1165 yards and 19 TDs.  He caught at least a TD pass in 21 of 26 games with 13 multiple TD games.  He had 100+ yards in 15 games.  He is the only player to win the Fred Biletnikoff Award as a Freshman.  He actually won it both years.

Crabtree has good size at 6’2″, 215 Lbs.  A stress fracture in his foot kept him from showing his speed at the combine and his Pro Day, but he hasn’t slid down too many draft boards.  Speed isn’t everything.  Crabtree has displayed the necessary skills to be a successful receiver.  NFLDraftScout.com’s Frank Cooney sums it up best by saying “Crabtree understands the nuances that most players take years to hone. His combination of abilities and instincts is shocking and reminiscent of Larry Fitzgerald — including start-stop, body control, hand-eye coordination, positioning, aggressive run-after-catch and some that defy description. And all this talent comes in a wide receiver who has a great team attitude. He may not impress with his clock time in 40 yards. But neither did Fitzgerald or Jerry Rice.”  Talk about high praise.

Here’s a look at where some of the experts have him pegged:
Scott Wright’s Draft Countdown:  #5 to the Browns

WalterFootball.com:  #4 to the Seattle Seahawks

Draft King:  #4 to the Seattle Seahawks

Consensus Draft Services:  #7 to the Oakland Raiders

The Football Expert:  #7 to the Oakland Raiders

War Room Report:  #8 to the Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL Draft Scout:  #1 ranked WR

If I had to guess where Crabtree would end up, I’d say Cleveland at this point.  Braylon Edwards appears to be on his way out and Donte Stallworth could miss time to suspenson/jail time.


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