LestersLegends.com » Sidney Rice


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Sidney Rice left Minnesota for Seattle joining Tarvaris Jackson and former offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell. Rice’s fantasy value takes a hit as he takes a step back at the quarterback position. He would have been in better shape had he hung around Minnesota with newly acquired Donovan McNabb. Rice has only had one good season and has dealt with injury much of his career. That breakout season came in the midst of Brett Favre’s miraculous 33 TD, 7 INT season. I will be sliding him down my draft board for sure.
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Steve Breaston also found a new home.  He bolted the desert for Kansas City, joining Dwayne Bowe and Jonathan Baldwin. He isn’t much of a fantasy option considering they have Bowe, Moeaki, Baldwin, and Jamaal Charles.
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By Andy Boyum
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From all the reports and speculation coming out in the last few days regarding the ongoing labor issues in the NFL, it seems that we may have a deal in place by the end of the month. That, of course, begs the question. What type of free-agency rules will be put into play under the new Collective Bargaining Agreement? For the Vikings front-office, they may be crossing their fingers in hopes of rules more along the lines of the former CBA.
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Sidney Rice will be a free-agent in 2011. At this point, it’s just a matter of whether he’ll remain restricted as per current rules or hit the lucrative unrestricted market in hopes of landing a larger long-term deal than the one offered him by the Vikings prior to the lockout, of which he subsequently pointed his nose up at.
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Everybody knows the Vikings are a work in progress and have significant question marks all over the field, most importantly at the quarterback position. That is exactly why, in my opinion, it would be a mistake to let such a young and talented, field-stretching and potentially game-changing receiver walk right into the arms of the Robert Kraft’s and Jerry Jones’ of the world.
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You could make the argument that, presumably, the NFL will revert back to the salary-cap under the new CBA, and that you simply can not afford to pay and resign all the important skill positions. When you think of guys like Adrian Peterson, Chad Greenway, and Steve Hutchinson and in another year or two, Percy Harvin, it makes swallowing the “long-term extension for Sidney Rice” pill akin to that of castor oil. But you simply can not deny the offensive production shift of performance when Rice was healthy and in uniform playing on Sunday.
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Losing Rice last season to hip injury, I believe, was as big of a loss to the organization as losing E.J. was to the defense in ’09. I still remember all the talk at the time was that he’d only had one good season. That he was injured in ’07 & ’08 and we didn’t need him with the play of Adrian Peterson, and of course the ultimate denial in that “Favre will make any receiver look better.” Maybe it’s my small-town upbringing, but to me, a pig with lipstick is still a pig.
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For as good as Rice was in ’09 with Favre, you could make a case for him being that consistent in his first two years with undoubtedly inferior quarterback play. Injury of course being the caveat here, but ’08 was his worst statistical season and still managed four touchdowns in three games. His rookie season, despite only playing in four contests, had an output of 31 catches for 396 yards and four touchdowns.
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Extrapolate those numbers into a 16-game season (while forgetting the fact that the Vikings quarterbacking tree consisted of Tarvaris Jackson, Kelly Holcomb and Brooks Bolinger) and you have a monstrous 124 receptions for 1584 yards and 16 touchdowns. Unlikely as it would have been, those numbers would put him amongst the best single-season production for a receiver in the last ten years.
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You can’t argue his ability to stretch the field and jump over defenders. His importance on the field and to the success of the offense is paramount. Percy Harvin is a wonderful talent, but he is not a true #1 receiver. When he was out wide and defenders were able to isolate him on the edge he looked as stranded as Gilligan and the Skipper.
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I think all Vikings fans will admit that Christian Ponder needs to be the future of the franchise. Part of that responsibility is having the confidence in yourself to make the throws and in your receivers, that they will make the catches. We all expect, and Bill Musgrave has confirmed, that the offense will basically run through Peterson, in which it should.
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So in a power-running offense you need one of two things: A) good play-action or B) a vertical passing game. If you are Musgrave and are going to start a rookie QB, would you gamble on him being able to transition from run to pass without having that outside threat that can drag one if not two defenders with him?
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Receivers that do not create separation cost the quarterback time and cause the offensive line to break apart more quickly. As evidenced last season, holding onto the ball that extra one or two seconds longer can be the difference between a 1st & 10 or a 2nd & 17, or worse. And over a large enough sample size, can be the difference between Peyton Manning and Ryan Leaf.
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I’m not trying to insinuate that the presence of Sidney Rice is going to catapult Ponder into the conversation with Manning, and hopefully the lack of #18 doesn’t mingle his name with the latter either. What we do know if that Musgrave is a maker of QB’s. Under his tutelage and with the right weapons, I believe Ponder can thrive and replicate numbers close to that of the last rookie quarterback to study under our new Offensive Coordinator.
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Musgrave earlier admitted that Matt Ryan would not have started as a rookie in Atlanta without having all the pieces in place. Michael Turner, Roddy White and Michael Jenkins versus Adrian Peterson, Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin…which tandem would you rather have? The Falcons group is good – a very close second, but second nonetheless…I’ll take the Purple.
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I believe it is of utmost importance to resign Rice to a deal in the event his free agent status becomes unrestricted under the new CBA. Not because he is the missing link to our Super Bowl run, although it doesn’t hurt. Rather, it’s the best thing to do for the continuity and development of our new offense, and the confidence that will enable our future signal-caller for years to come.
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And let’s face it…the guy can flat jump out of the gym!

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Andy Boyum
Farmington, MN
Fantasy Football enthusiast since 1999
Commissioner: Purlple Pride Fantasy League 2002-present: 1 Championship (2004)
RT Sports Commissioner Money League Champion: 2003 & 2005
Keeper League Champion 2006, 07 & 09
Yahoo PPR Champion: 2010



Image courtesy of Icon SMI

 

I was a little concerned with Sidney Rice’s hip in July (click to read article). He went from the #5 rank in February to #7 in April as I came to the conclusion that the Vikings would run more in 2010.

 

In mid-July I bounced him down to #14 as the hip injury began to trouble me. In my most recent rankings two weeks ago, he dipped down to #19 as the hip and a possible contract dispute as the cause for the slide.

 

Now there are rumors (via Judd Zulgad’s Twitter) that he may undergo surgery to repair his hip. This procedure could cost him half the season. Until we hear otherwise, it’s time to start preparing for the worst. You can no longer risk taking Rice as one of your top two WRs. Even taking him as a WR3 is risky.

 

Meanwhile, Bernard Berrian should start rapidly climbing the draft board. With Rice’s hip issue and Percy Harvin’s migraine issues, Berrian could easily find himself as the team’s number one receiver. Brett Favre went to Berrian early and often in the NFC title game against the Saints. He would not hesitate to go back to him.

 

The Vikings are taking a look at Javon Walker, but don’t waste your time with him. Greg Lewis, who was on the receiving end of the ESPY Play of the Year, is far more likely to pick up the scraps should Rice and Harvin miss time.

 

****UPDATE****
Star Tribune is reporting that Sidney Rice did have hip surgery. If you already had your draft and picked Rice, try to get Bernard Berrian. Don’t worry about Brett Favre. He will be fine with Harvin, Rice, Shiancoe, Greg Lewis, etc.

So Brett Favre decided to grace the Vikings with his presence. If you were one of the one or two people that fell for his act…shame on you. For the rest of us, who always knew he was coming back, we can get on to the real question at hand. What does Favre’s return mean to us fantasy football players?

 

For starters, you can add Brett Favre in the mix as one of the top eight to twelve fantasy starters. I wouldn’t put him ahead of the likes of Rodgers, Brees, Peyton, Brady, Rivers, Romo, or Schaub, but after last year’s brilliant performance, I can see you rolling the dice and taking him as a low-end fantasy starter. I know he’s never missed a game and has been a top tier QB for the past three seasons, aside from the last few games with the Jets when he blew out his arm, but you should strongly consider adding a quality backup if you’re using Favre. He will turn 41 this year, and after the success the Saints had attacking Favre, you have to imagine other teams will follow suit and try to take down the new grandpa.

 

I am not worried that Favre’s return will hamper Adrian Peterson. He put up big numbers before Favre and put up big numbers with him. I’m more concerned with his fumbling issues, but that’s a different topic for a different day. I still consider AP the number one fantasy running back since teams can’t stuff the box on him.

 

The Viking wide receivers have to be breathing a sigh of relief. It’s not that I don’t think Tarvaris Jackson is not capable of moving the chains and putting up some points, but he is not to be confused with Brett Favre. Favre sweats out more experience every game than T-Jack has accumulated, and it will benefit the Viking wideouts.

 

The player I like the most is Percy Harvin. Of course he is a weekly risk thanks to his recurring migraine issue, but he has so much natural ability. He is strong and shifty and racks up yards after contact like a running back. Favre showed a willingness to deliver the ball to him in the red zone so double-digit touchdowns is not out of the question. Sidney Rice was his favorite target last year, but he is dealing with a hip issue. He has not walked the walk with injuries like the gunslinger so there is cause for concern. If he can stay healthy, he should be able to put up big numbers thanks to his body control and leaping ability. He’ll be gone from fantasy drafts before I’m willing to role the dice on him. Bernard Berrian is an interesting option. He’s too widely know to be considered a sleeper, but he could far exceed his expectations.

 

First, he’ll have to stay healthy, which has been a challenge. If he can do his part, and Percy (migraines) or Sidney’s (hip) issues flare up, he could see a lot of targets. He was almost the forgotten man last year, but was heavily featured (9 catches, 102 yards) in the NFC title game vs. the Saints. Don’t sleep on him despite his 161 ADP (57th WR).

 

Perhaps the player that is happiest to see Favre’s return is Visanthe Shiancoe. Not because they can sort out the great training camp tweet debacle, but because Favre loves throwing to tight ends in the red zone. Shiancoe had 11 TDs last year to back up that claim. He loses some value in PPR leagues because he likely won’t catch more than 55-60 passes, but another double-digit season is a distinct possibility.

 

I know you’re sick of the Favre drama, but the Vikings are a better team with him under center. Their players become better fantasy options as well. As far as I’m concerned, there’s nothing not to like about Favre’s return.

 

***Update*** 
Percy Harvin collapsed during practice and was taken to a hospital via an ambulance. He vomited prior to collapsing, most likely the symptoms of a migraine. He has been dealing with them for two weeks now. You should probably slide Harvin down a few notches on your draft board. More importantly, my thoughts and prayers are with Harvin. Hopefully they find a way to improve his condition. That is now way to go through life, not knowing when you’ll be knocked on your butt from a crippling migraine.


Image courtesy of Icon SMI

 

Despite finishing 4th in the league with 1312 receiving yards and tied for 16th with 8 receiving TDs, I’m a little nervous about Sidney Rice. Even after the 10 catches for 184 yards and 4 TDs in playoff games against Dallas and New Orleans. After all, he is dealing with a hip injury that will limit him in training camp.  Injuries have plagued Rice in the past, and one would hope that he would have been fully recovered by now.

 

The injury prevented him from participating in Larry Fitzgerald’s offseason program. One could argue that his participation in that program last year was second only to Brett Farve’s arrival in explaining Rice’s breakout year. He’s busy rehabbing his hip, but will his absence cause his production to suffer?

 

Brett Favre will return barring a reversal for the ages, which helps. However,  they were not on the same page in the interception that cost the Vikings a chance to return to the Super Bowl. Even though Favre isn’t blaming Rice for the interception, you have to wonder if he’ll be as willing to throw the ball up to him, trusting Rice will make a play.

 

What’s scary is that Rice could conceivably improve on last year. He had 8 TDs in his first 46 catches in 2007 & 2008. He had 8 last year in 83 catches. At 6’4″ with good leaping ability and body position, he could turn in a double-digit TD season.

 

I don’t have him completely falling off the map, click here for my 2010 WR rankings,  but I do have him taking a step back in 2010. I’d still take him as a WR1, but, honestly, I’d prefer him as a WR2.

 

For starters, I think they run the ball more this year. At times they went away from Adrian Peterson last year. I think Brad Childress got wrapped up in the Brett Favre mania and leaned a little heavy on the pass. That should change this year.

 

With Brett Favre throwing fewer passes, it stands to reason that Rice could see fewer targets. I also think Percy Harvin plays a bigger role in the offense, which will further dip into Rice’s production.

 

Prediction:  75 catches, 1200 yards, 7 TDs

 

What are your thoughts on Sidney Rice?


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