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Fantasy Football Forum

18 November 2008


Fantasy Football Forum

How did Week 11 go for you? 

I’m in six leagues so I’ll recap each one.

KFFL Analysis League (PPR League) - Sadly Matt Cassel was left on my bench.  Housh, MJD, and Fitz played exceptional for me.  Kurt Warner, Michael Turner, Matt Forte, Kevin Curtis and Reggie Wayne played well for my opponent.  Lee Evans and Tony Scheffler didn’t score for him.  I was able to pick up the Win in this one.
Record:  6-5

Cage Match League (The Legend vs. Awesome) - I got pounded.  Boldin and MB3 were the biggest reasons while I lost.  Brees, Peterson, Steve Smith, Andre Johnson and Westbrook let me down.
Record:  7-4

LEV League - Jerricho Cotchery got my opponent off to a good start.  Ryan Grant kept it going.  Steve Slaton and Carolina D played well for me.  Philip Rivers and T.O. stunk.  My opponent left Matt Jones in.  I did enough to get by.
Record:  6-5

Fantasy Sports Depot League - Sadly Matt Cassel was left on my bench.  Aaron Rodgers played OK.  Calvin Johnson, DeSean Jackson and Steve Slaton played well.  My opponent was led by Tyler Thigpen, Dwayne Bowe, and Matt Forte.  I was able to pick up the Win.
Record:  5-6

My Keeper League - Thomas Jones got me off to a great start.  Laveranues Coles didn’t deliver for my opponent.  Peyton Manning and Fitz did well, but Andre Johnson, Steve Breaston,  and Owen Daniels did little.  My opponent got big games from Warner and Boldin.  I was fortunate both LJ and Westy got held under 10 points each.  Jason Witten and Santana Moss did little so I was able to relax knowing I won with Lynch still on tap.  Naturally Lynch tore it up.
Record:  4-7

No Kicker League -  Kurt Warner, Steve Slaton, Fitz, and Dwayne Bowe played great for me.  Joe Flacco scored well for my opponent.  The same can’t be said for Julius Jones (negative points), Tim Hightower, Eddie Royal, and Mewelde Moore.  I destroyed him.
Record:  9-2

Weekly Record:  5-1
Season Record:  37-29
That’s how my weekend of fantasy football went. How did you do?

 

Quarterbacks
Matt Cassel
- 30 of 51 for 400 yards, 3 TDs, 8 carries for 62 yards
Peyton Manning - 30 of 46 for 320 yards, 2 TDs
Donovan McNabb - 28 of 58 for 339 yards, TD, 3 INT
Kurt Warner - 32 of 44 for 395 yards, TD, INT
Kerry Collins - 13 of 23 for 230 yards, 3 TDs, INT
Ben Roethlisberger - 31 of 41 for 308 yards
Running Backs
Thomas Jones
- 30 carries for 104 yards, TD, 2 catches for 15 yards
Ronnie Brown - 16 carries for 101 yards, 1 catch for 11 yards
Peyton Hillis - 10 carries for 44 yards, 2 TDs, 3 catches for 26 yards
Brandon Jacobs - 11 carries for 73 yards, 2 TDs
Pierre Thomas - 16 carries for 88 yards, TD, 4 catches for 56 yards
Ryan Grant - 25 carries for 145 yards, TD
Joseph Addai - 22 carries for 105 yards, TD, 4 catches for 48 yards, TD
Steve Slaton - 14 carries for 156 yards, TD
Ahman Green - 9 carries for 17 yards, 2 TDs
Kevin Smith - 24 carries for 112 yards, 2 catches for 23 yards
DeAngelo Williams -14 carries for 120 yards, 2 TDs
Jonathan Stewart - 15 carries for 130 yards, TD
Frank Gore - 18 carries for 106 yards, 2 TDs
J.J. Arrington - 8 carries for 40 yards, TD, 3 catches for 21 yards, TD
T.J. Duckett - 5 carries for 5 yards, 2 TDs
 
Maurice Jones-Drew - 17 carries for 66 yards, 2 TDs, 3 catches for 27 yards
Willie Parker - 25 carries for 115 yards
LT - 18 carries for 57 yards, TD, 3 catches for 40 yards
Marion Barber III - 24 carries for 114 yards, TD, 6 catches for 39 yards
 
Marshawn Lynch - 23 carries for 119 yards, 10 catches for 58 yards, TD
Jerome Harrison - 3 carrie for 80 yards, TD, 1 catch for 21 yards

Wide Receivers
Jerricho Cotchery
- 5 catches for 87 yards, TD
Jabar Gaffney - 7 catches for 86 yards, TD
Wes Welker - 7 catches for 108 yards
Dwayne Bowe - 7 catches for 53 yards, 2 TDs
Greg Jennings - 5 catches for 64 yards, TD
Marvin Harrison - 9 catches for 77 yards, TD
Calvin Johnson - 6 catches for 65 yards, TD
T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 12 catches for 149 yards, TD
Bryant Johnson - 4 catches for 56 yards, TD
Anquan Boldin - 13 catches for 186 yards
Larry Fitzgerald - 10 catches for 151 yards 
Justin Gage - 4 catches for 147 yards, 2 TDs
Hines Ward - 11 catches for 12 yards
 
Braylon Edwards - 8 catches for 104 yards

Tight Ends
Ben Watson
- 8 catches for 88 yards, TD
Dustin Keller - 8 catches for 87 yards
Jerramy Stevens - 6 catches for 84 yards

There were some unusual heroes on Sunday.  There always are.  Let’s take a look at them and see if they are worthy of your fantasy rosters.

QB
Ryan Fitzpatrick
- Fitzpatrick held his own vs. Philadelphia.  He built a strong rapport with T.J. Housmandzadeh, which is encouraging.  I wouldn’t necessarily recommed starting him, but he’s a worthwhile backup down the stretch.  
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

Shaun Hill - Hill completed 15 of 20 passes for 213 yards and a pair of scores.  This after looking good (aside for the last series) last Monday Night.  Two in a row is good enough to consider for you bench.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

RBs
Ahmad Bradshaw
- The triple-head monster the Giants throw at their opponents is ridiculous.  Bradshaw hasn’t factored in as much as Jacobs and Ward, but that could change down the stretch.  With the G-Men on cruise control Bradshaw could start to play a bigger role to keep Jacobs fresh for the playoffs.  I wouldn’t start him unless one of the other two go down, but he may be worth stashing on your bench.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

Peyton Hillis - The Broncos rushing game is so bad that they brought the Bellhop (Tatem Bell) in.  Hillis scored a pair of TDs and is the one you should target as he’s the goal line back.  He’s also capable of catching the ball out of the backfield.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

WRs
Jabar Gaffney
- With Matt Cassel becoming more comfortable with as the starter some things are starting to get cleared up.  Cassel isn’t going to throw the long bombs down the sideline to Randy Moss.  That’s just not his deal right now.  He’s going to get smaller hunks of yardage with the likes of Gaffney and Wes Welker.  The Patriots have three WRs worthy of fantasy rosters again.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

Justin Gage - Gage followed up a good game (4 catches for 47 yards, TD) with a great one (4 catches for 147 yards, 2 TDs).  Collins has been airing it out more the last couple of weeks and Gage is his favorite target.  Go ahead and add him for depth.
Ruling:  Get ‘em.

Hank Baskett - This is about the third time Baskett has had a big game (Week 1 & Week 3).  He also added TDs in Weeks 6 & 9.  He’s too inconsistent though so don’t get wrapped up in his 74 yards this week.  Next week he’ll likely go for 20 or less.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

TE
Benjamin Watson
- Watson also had a nice game for the Patriots.  He scored his first TD of the season and nearly doubled his yardage.  He’s been Missing in Action far too often this year for him to be a reliable option.  I suppose you can add him for depth, but don’t think this game will be the norm going forward.
Ruling:  Don’t Sweat ‘em.

There you have it.  I hope I provided you some good info while you make your fantasy team waiver wire adjustments.

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.  I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week.  I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.  To mix things up I’ll occasionally do some two on one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other.  Sometimes I’ll spot a player some points. 

Scoring
6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard. 

Last Week
Matt Ryan
(20.2) over Eli Manning (17.75) WHICH I WON.
Matt Forte (18.6) and Steve Slaton (2.4) (combined) [21.0] beat LaDainian Tomlinson (11.7) WHICH I LOST.
Michael Turner
(15.6) over Brian Westbrook +1 (6.9 – 5.9 actual plus spotted points) WHICH I WON.
Reggie Wayne (17.4) beat Michael Jenkins (7.2) WHICH I LOST.
Devery Henderson (6.3) beat Randy Moss (5.1)  WHICH I WON.
Super Stetch:  Brady Quinn (20.25) over  Jake Delhomme (7.6) WHICH I WON.

Regular Picks:  3-2
Picks:  1-0  
Overall:  4-2  

Season Record
Regular Picks:  31-19
Super Stretch Picks:  4-5
Overall:  35-24

Quarterback
 
Tyler Thigpen over Eli Manning
I can’t believe I’m taking a Chief over a Giant.  It’s all about the matchups.  Thigpen goes up against a bad New Orleans’ D while Eli faces a tough Baltimore unit.  Thigpen has actually looked decent in recent weeks and has some nice options in Gonzo, Bowe, and Bradley.  Eli could have his hands full with the Ravens.

Running Backs
   
Marshawn Lynch over Brandon Jacobs
I’m picking against the Giants again.  It’s more about the respect I have for Baltimore’s D than a slight to New York’s Offense.  Jacobs is a beast, but I’m expecting Lynch to go into Beast mode against Cleveland and finally crack the 100 yard mark.

  
Ricky Williams over Willis McGahee
Talk about night-and-day expressions in these photos.  Ricky looks happy-go-lucky and McGahee looks like someone just ran over his cat.  I’m banking on their demeanors reflecting their expressions as Ricky has a nice game against Oakland while McGahee struggles vs. the G-Men.

Wide Receiver
       
Santonio Holmes over T.J. Houshmandzadeh
I’ll take Santonio Holmes  over Housh in this battle of underperforming Divisional foes.  Holmes isn’t the first option, but his matchup against San Diego’s is more fantasy friendly than Housh’s against Philadelphia.  I’m hoping the matchup will more than offset the additional targets Housh receives.

  
Kevin Curtis
over Kevin Walter
They have something in common other than their position, but I can’t quite put my finger on it.  It’s also not their first name.  That’s right, they both came in the league in 2003.  I like Curtis in this battle based on his matchup vs. Cincy over Walter’s vs. Indy.

SUPER STRETCH
 
BenJarvus Green-Ellis
over Jamal Lewis
I’ll take the Law Firm over the ex-con.  Not sure why, but I think Green-Ellis will factor in big on Thursday while Jamal will have his hands full trying to navigate vs. Buffalo’s D.

NFL Picks – Week 11

12 November 2008

These picks are from 2008. Click here for my 2009 Week 11 NFL Picks.
Click here to check out my fantasy football info in the meantime.

Last Week:    10-4 (CLE, DET, HOU, PHI) let me down
Lock Picks:  2-0

Previous Lock to Win Picks:  NE (W), NYG (W),  BUF (W), SD (W), DAL (W), WAS (L), HOU (W), NYJ (W), JAX (L), CAR (W)
Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  STL (W), BUF (L), CIN (W), KC (L), MIA (L), DET (W), SEA (W), NO (L), OAK (W), CHI (W)

Overall Lock Picks: 14-6 (.700)
Season Total:  92-52 (.639)

Week 10 Picks
Lock to Win:  Philadelphia
Lock to Lose (can’t be same game as above):  Houston

Week 11 Picks
New England over New York Jets
Atlanta over Denver
Philadelphia over Cincinnati (Winner Lock)
Green Bay over Chicago
Indianapolis over Houston (Loser Lock)
New Orleans over Kansas City
Miami over Oakland
New York Giants over Baltimore
Tampa Bay over Minnesota
Carolina over Detroit
San Francisco over St. Louis
Arizona over Seattle
Pittsburgh over San Diego
Tennessee over Jacksonville
Washington over Dallas
Buffalo over Cleveland


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