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Week 17 was tough to predict. I ended up going 9-7. Indianapolis took care of business as my lock pick..barely.
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Overall Record: 151-103-2 (.594)
Lock Picks: 14-3 (.824)
Winner Locks: SEA, CAR, MIA, ARI (L), NE, TENN, CIN, MIN (L), KC, BAL, PITT, NYG, DEN, DET, BUF, SD, INDY
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Wild Card Picks
Oakland over Houston
Seattle over Detroit
Pittsburgh over Miami
Green Bay over New York Giants
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Written by CK0712

(OUT — Definitely will not play; DNP — Did not practice; LIMITED — Limited participation in practice; FULL — Full participation in practice):

SATURDAY
ATLANTA FALCONS at ARIZONA CARDINALS

ATLANTA:  QUESTIONABLE: DE John Abraham (thigh, shoulder), DE Jamaal Anderson (ankle), T Sam Baker (hip, back), WR Harry Douglas (head), DT Grady Jackson (knee), LB Curtis Lofton (knee), S Lawyer Milloy (back), RB Ovie Mughelli (knee), T Todd Weiner (knee).

ARIZONA: QUESTIONABLE: WR Anquan Boldin (shoulder), DE Travis LaBoy (ankle), TE Leonard Pope (knee), DT Gabe Watson (knee). PROBABLE: S Aaron Francisco (ribs), TE Stephen Spach (ankle), LB Pago Togafau (knee), S Matt Ware (calf), S Adrian Wilson (toe).

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
INDIANAPOLIS: OUT: LB Gary Brackett (fibula). QUESTIONABLE: DT Eric Foster (finger), WR Pierre Garcon (knee), G Mike Pollak (ankle), CB Keiwan Ratliff (groin), G Jamey Richard (ankle).

SAN DIEGO: DOUBTFUL: LB Brandon Siler (foot). QUESTIONABLE: TE Antonio Gates (ankle), RB LaDainian Tomlinson (groin).

SUNDAY

BALTIMORE RAVENS at MIAMI DOLPHINS 
BALTIMORE: QUESTIONABLE: DT Justin Bannan (foot), LB Antwan Barnes (shoulder), G Chris Chester (back), WR Mark Clayton (knee), TE Todd Heap (back), LB Jarret Johnson (calf), WR Derrick Mason (shoulder), S Ed Reed (thigh), RB Ray Rice (calf), CB Samari Rolle (ankle, foot), K Matt Stover (right ankle), CB Fabian Washington (toe). PROBABLE: S Tom Zbikowski (thigh).

MIAMI: QUESTIONABLE: TE David Martin (head, neck), DE Randy Starks (ankle).

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at MINNESOTA VIKINGS
PHILADELPHIA: OUT: DE Victor Abiamiri (foot), G Shawn Andrews (back). QUESTIONABLE: T Jon Runyan (knee), CB Asante Samuel (hip), TE L.J. Smith (shoulder), RB Brian Westbrook (knee, ankle). PROBABLE: WR Hank Baskett (knee), LB Stewart Bradley (rib, groin), WR Kevin Curtis (calf), S Brian Dawkins (back), G Todd Herremans (shoulder, ankle).

MINNESOTA: OUT: DE Ray Edwards (knee). QUESTIONABLE: DT Pat Williams (shoulder). PROBABLE: WR Bernard Berrian (ankle), T Artis Hicks (elbow).

You don’t really have many options in the fantasy playoffs so I’ll break down guys I like and guys I don’t like in this weekends games.

Quarterbacks
Love
:
Peyton Manning – The Chargers have one of the worst Pass Defenses in the league.  Peyton Manning is Peyton Manning.  He should have an outstanding game.
Donovan McNabb – The Vikings have improved their Pass D dramatically this year.  Still, McNabb’s experience and explosiveness should come into play this weekend.
Kurt Warner – I don’t think the Cardinals will win, but Kurt & Company won’t go down without a fight.  That means a lot of passing for the Cards.

Like:
Philip Rivers – Though the Colts have an excellent pass D, Rivers is still one of the elite QBs today.  He’ll get his vs. Indianapolis.
Matt Ryan – The Cardinals D is pretty soft.  Michael Turner should soften it up to let Ryan take advantage. 

Hate:
Chad Pennington – He’s facing the Ravens tough D.  Enough said.
Joe Flacco – The Rookie won’t be asked to do much as they rely on their D and ground game.
Tarvaris Jackson – Jim Johnson should give him fits.

Running Backs
Love: 
Michael Turner – The Cards are going to have their hands full with the Burner.
LT – He’s hitting his stride just in time.  Indy’s Run D is still suspect.
Le’Ron McClain – The Ravens are going to pound away at Miami.
Adrian Peterson – I’m not expecting a huge game from AP, but I can’t count him out.
Brian Westbrook – Westy is a dual threat, which is why I still love him vs. the #1 Run D three years running.

Like:
Joseph Addai – Addai will get his touches vs. San Diego.  Rhodes and the passing game will be factors though.
Willis McGahee – McGahee has yielded his starting gig to McClain, but he’ll still play a pivotal role against the Fish.
Correll Buckhalter – I can see him vulture a Westbrook TD.

Hate:
Ronnie Brown – He’s in a 57/43 split with Ricky Williams facing the league’s third best run D.
Ricky Williams – Another thing, Baltimore has allowed just four rushing TDs.
Tim Hightower – The Cardinals have zero running game.
Chester Taylor – I’m not sure he’ll get enough meaningful touches to factor in.

Wide Receiver
Love:
Reggie Wayne – Manning will get Wayne involved early and often.
Larry Fitzgerald – He’s too good to shut down. 
Anquan Boldin – See above.
Roddy White – He’ll be the beneficiary of Turner softening Arizona’s D.

Like:
Vincent Jackson – He’s a big target that could present problems to the Colts.
Marvin Harrison – Manning will also involve his long time favorite target.
Derrick Mason – Should be able to pick his spots against Miami.
Michael Jenkins – Could also get loose against Arizona.
DeSean Jackson – McNabb will target the Rookie WR.

Hate:
Anthony Gonzalez – With Wayne, Harrison, Addia, and Dallas Clark, there won’t be enough left over for Gonzalez.
Ted Ginn, Jr. – Baltimore will present a difficult challenge for the speedster.
Steve Breaston – He’ll be the odd man out for Arizona.
Bernard Berrian – Berrian is the main threat in the passing game for Minnesota.  The Eagles will look to take that away.

Tight Ends
Love:
Dallas Clark – Clark has been a beast down the stretch.  San Diego has been awful at stopping Tight Ends.  Clark should have no problem getting open>
Antonio Gates – He’s too good to stop.

Like:
Visanthe Shiancoe – He has become one of the better Tight Ends in the league in recent weeks.  The only thing that keeps him out of the Love category is the blitzes T-Jack could see.  He could be forced to pass protect more than usual.
Anthony Fasano – He scored four TDs in December.  He may be the best option going against Baltimore.

Hate:
Todd Heap – He’s more name value now than actual production.  He surpassed 40 yards just three times.
Leonard Pope – Do they have a TE in the desert?
Justin Pelle – Atlanta isn’t much better at TE.
L.J. Smith – After being terrible early, the Vikings have gotten better at stopping TEs.

NFL Wild Card Playoff Picks

31 December 2008

These picks are from 2008. For my 2009 NFL Wild Card Picks click here.

Last Week:   12-4 (KC, TB, NYJ, WASH) let me down
Lock Picks:  2-0

Previous Lock to Win Picks:  NE (W), NYG (W),  BUF (W), SD (W), DAL (W), WAS (L), HOU (W), NYJ (W), JAX (L), CAR (W), PHI (Tie), CHI (W), TENN (W), MN (W), INDY (W), NO (W), ATL (W)

Previous Lock to Lose Picks:  STL (W), BUF (L), CIN (W), KC (L), MIA (L), DET (W), SEA (W), NO (L), OAK (W), CHI (W), HOU (W), SD (W), PHI (L), CLE (W), SF (W), JAX (W), TENN (W)

Overall Lock Picks: 25-8-1 (.750)
Season Total:  159-96-1 (.623)

Wildcard Playoff Picks
Indianapolis over San Diego
Baltimore over Miami
Atlanta over Arizona
Philadelphia over Minnesota


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