Should You Trust Colby Lewis?

Jul 3, 2011


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Colby Lewis has give up four or more runs in six of his sixteen starts. He’s either real good or real bad. There hasn’t been much middle ground this year. He’s been a seesaw this year, alternating good and bad months.
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Lewis had a 5.70 ERA in April. He followed it up with a sparkling 2.43 ERA in May. June was another disaster, as noted by his 5.81 ERA for the month.
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One thing you can count on Colby for his strikeouts. He has 83 in 100 innings on the year. He’s had at least six strikeouts in  half of his starts. He’s really dialed it up of last, racking up 24 strikeouts over 20-1/3 innings over his past three starts.
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Colby is best used on the road against predominantly right-handed hitters. His road ERA (3.19) is almost three full runs lower than his home mark (6.13). Lefties are  hitting .316 against him with a .987 ERA. While he’s serving up batting practice to lefties, he’s been tough on right-handed batters to the tune of a .185 BAA with a .545 OPS.
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If you pick your spots with Colby, you should be in pretty good shape the rest of the way. It’s just too bad that he isn’t a National League pitcher. In interleague play he was 2-1 with a 2.00 ERA. His next start comes on the Fourth at home against Baltimore. He’s been rock solid his past three starts, but tread carefully.
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