West Sports Report Mock Draft – Round 4
West Sports Report Analysis
4-1 The Sports Bank - Welker, Wes NEP WR
Welker is a focal point of the Patriots offense no matter who is taking the snaps. I like taking guys who A)get targeted a lot and B)catch most of those targets (see:Andre Johnson) because it means they are going to give their fantasy owners plenty of chances to get points. With Brady back at the helm, I see Welker’s yardage in the same range as the last two seasons (1100+ yards) but his chances to get into the endzone should increase.
4-2 KFFL - Edwards, Braylon CLE WR
A new coaching staff should help the talented wideout. He has the ability to produce like a top No. 1 … when he’s focused. I think it’s good value on him at this stage, especially considering the remaining receivers. Definitely some risk involved, though.
4-3 West Sports Report - Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
I really thought about taking Ryan Grant here for insurance purposes at the RB position, but I figured I’d get one of the last top quarterbacks on the list. The Packers are going to throw the ball a lot, while Cutler, Romo, and Warner all might have down years because of different personnel. When I looked at other positions, not one certain player stuck out like Rodgers did.
4-4 Football Fan Spot - Wells, Chris ARI RB
Wells is going to get the vast majority of the carries for his team this season, which is more than you can say about most halfbacks at this point in the draft. The defense will be so concerned trying to slow down Kurt Warner, covering Boldin and Fitzgerald, that Wells should have 1000 yards rushing with ease. He didn’t catch a lot of balls at Ohio State, which means he won’t do a lot in that area for me, but my RB1 is Steve Slaton so that makes up for it. The only issue is his durability. Most rookies backs tend to break down by fantasy playoff time, but in weeks 14-17, Wells faces San Francisco, Detroit, St. Louis, and Green Bay, which will be a cakewalk for him, even if he has started to break down.
Two players I really wanted – Aaron Rodgers and Chris Wells – just went off the board, so I’ll take my WR2. If Antonio Bryant can garner 83 receptions, 1,248 yards and seven touchdowns with Jeff Garcia at the helm, I don’t see why he can’t duplicate those numbers with Luke McCown, who has a stronger arm than his predecessor.
4-6 Draft Zoo - Ochocinco, Chad CIN WR
Chad Johnson should have a great year. He’s healthy, and more importantly Carson Palmer is healthy. With TJH gone, I think he’ll flourish again. He didn’t put up great numbers last year, but they weren’t too bad considering who was playing quarterback. Palmer will probably lean on his most familiar target this season, and I think the Bengal could be down enough times to need to air it out. Plus, I haven’t heard much from Ocho this offseason which hopefully means he’s been working and not bitching.
There is no contract hold out this summer, he’s going into the year healthy and he’s out to prove that he was no one-hit wonder in 2007. With a balanced air attack consisting of Aaron Rodgers and Greg Jennings, defenses will not be able to stack the box. Without no other legitimate competition in the backfield, he should get a majority of the carries. Look for him to return to 2007 rather than 2008. I thought about taking him at #30 so that fact that he was still there at #43 gets me both targeted players.
4-8 LestersLegends – Witten, Jason DAL TE
Jason Witten is the #1 WR for the Dallas Cowboys, although he is a TE, which makes him all the more valuable.
The actual number one WR of the Cowboys. He had 1,300 receiving yards the last time his QB had a pulse. This is a guy who, if he gets as many passes thrown at him as T. O. did last season, will approach 100 receptions. He is that good. He has those skills. He’s proven he can catch the ball, and while he may not have the game-breaking burst of your top wideouts, he still can (and will) have double digit touchdowns.
4-10 Fantasy Draft Edge - Houshmandzadeh, T.J. SEA WR
The Seahawks have been waiting for somebody to actually catch the ball and TJ has been waiting to be the go to option. Good match.
4-11 Fantasy Football Extreme - Addai, Joseph IND RB
Addai’s fantasy value will be debated all the way up to kickoff in 2009. Even though Donald Brown is on the roster, Addai is going to get his. All the guy needs is roughly 250 carries and he can crank out 1,000 yards and 10+ scores. He had 261 carries, 1,072 rushing yards, 41 receptions for 364 yards and 15 total scores in 2007, a season he was still sharing carries. In that Colts offense this season, Addai should easily get to that 250 carry mark if healthy. Donald Brown might just help Addai stay healthy. Like Marion Barber, Addai is the kind of running back that can get 12-14 total scores on 240-250 carry season, whereas a heavier workload will end up producing missed games, which ends up causing less produced yards and less touchdowns all together. Maurice Jones-Drew, Joseph Addai, Reggie Wayne and Marques Colston… we’re very pleased with that four.
4-12 Junkyard Jake - McFadden, Darren OAK RB
McFadden was significantly hampered by turf toe last season, and still managed to finish with a respectable 4.4 YPC, compared to starter Justin Fargas’s 3.9 YPC. This season, with his turf toe problems reportedly behind him, the 2nd year back should surpass Fargas on the depth chart. Surely McFadden is still a risky pick, but with his speed, and receiving ability, he appears to have large untapped potential in 2009.