What to do about LT?

Sep 16, 2008

LT is off to a slow start and has been hampered by a toe injury.  He started slow in his first three games last year, but turned it around.  He was relatively slow in his first two games of 2003 & 2005 as well.  So will he bounce back or is he set to take a Marshall Faulk/Shaun Alexander type plunge?

I say he will bounce back and will avoid Faulk/SA type plunge, but I don’t see the LT of old surfacing.  That doesn’t mean he’s not going to have a solid year, but I’m not predicting another 1400+ yard, 15 TD season for him.  I’m putting him more on a 1200 yard, 10 TD season.  Still good, but not what you invested your first pick for.

So what do you do with him?  You entertain offers, that’s what you do.  If you are in a Keeper League I think you should definitely put your feelers out and see what you can get for him.  If you can get a top back that’s five years younger plus an upgrade at WR, you’d be foolish not to contemplate moving your franchise player.  Unless you feel you are poised to make a run this year, you’re better off getting top value in return for LT and you won’t see a dramatic dip in your production next year.  Perhaps the owners in your league are anticipating this move on your part and aren’t willing to let you raid their shelves.  If that’s the case then you’re better off holding on to him until he breaks out.  At that point you will have a better feel for your team and the direction it’s going.  If you are in a non-keeper league then it gets trickier.  You too have to entertain offers, but you need help right now…and a lot of it.  You won’t have a couple of years to make up for the dip in production you might experience this year.  You need to get a RB that is pretty high end as well as some serious upgrading in other position(s).  I mean he does get to face Oakland and Kansas City four times.  You think he can’t rack up 400-600 yards and 6 TDs against them?  Not to mention Miami this week if he’s healthy enough to get on track.  New Orleans, Atlanta, and the Colts.  That could be another 400-600 yards and 6 TDs.  Take a look at his playoff schedule.  Oakland in Week 14 and Kansas City in Week 15.  He could punch your ticket to your fantasy Super Bowl. 

In summary, if you are an LT owner check the pulse of your league and see what you can get for LT.  If you are getting great value, you may want to pull the trigger.  In a keeper league, I’d be much more willing to let him go.  He’s going to be on the wrong side of 30 next year, and he has close to 2400 carries on his career.  You want to hit the eject button before he crashes and burns on you.  In a non-keeper league don’t bite unless you get a Don Corleone deal.

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4 Responses so far | Have Your Say!

  1. Awesome
    September 16th, 2008 at 2:48 pm #

    well put. and as one in that situation, I think you’re right on the money.

  2. LestersLegends
    September 16th, 2008 at 2:50 pm #

    Thanks Awesome. Your situation is a little unique because it’s an auction league.

  3. Brad
    September 16th, 2008 at 5:28 pm #

    You know Ryan…I knew this crap would happen with LT when I drafted him first in every league I got the #1 pick in (of course one of them my computer froze and I was stuck with him b/c of auto pick…I would have went with AP instead). I knew that as soon as I got him he would get hurt or not be his normal self….just another reason why I hate (but love) fantasy sports.

  4. LestersLegends
    September 16th, 2008 at 10:46 pm #

    you jinx. just kidding Brad.

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